Polymarket · Football
lug is a Bundesliga pro on Polymarket: 59 picks, 67.8% win rate, $36K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 28 | 28 | 20 | 71.4% |
| Champions League | 27 | 27 | 17 | 63.0% |
| MLB | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
lug mainly predicts Bundesliga: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.8% hit rate over 59 orders, P&L $36K, ROI 28.6%. In Bundesliga, 20 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-18 05:53 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-26 | SC Paderborn 07 (Paderborn) 1:1 Wolfsburg Bundesliga | Wolfsburg to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin 4:0 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-16 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | SC Freiburg 4:1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:3 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:3 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli 1910 to win | Won |
| 2026-05-10 | 1. FC Köln 1:3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Won |
| 2026-05-10 | Hamburger SV 3:2 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Hamburger SV to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-09 | VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-09 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1:0 SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |
| 2026-05-06 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-05-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:0 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:0 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | Arsenal FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 1:3 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Lost |
| 2026-05-03 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | SC Freiburg 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-05-03 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:0 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-29 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-04-29 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-28 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 5:4 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-28 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 5:4 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-27 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli 1910 to win | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | FC Augsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga | FC Augsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:2 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-18 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 RB Leipzig Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-04-18 | SV Werder Bremen 3:1 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | SV Werder Bremen to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-17 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 1:1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FC Köln O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 0:0 Sporting CP Champions League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:3 Real Madrid Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-11 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0:5 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | FC Barcelona 0:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Liverpool FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Sporting CP 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Sporting CP vs Arsenal FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Sporting CP 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-07 | Sporting CP 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-17 | Sporting CP 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | Sporting CP vs FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | Real Madrid 3:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-12 | FK Bodø/Glimt 3:0 Sporting CP Champions League | FK Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting CP O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-11 | Atalanta BC 1:6 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | Atalanta BC vs FC Bayern München O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-11 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 5:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Champions League | draw | Lost |
| 2026-03-11 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 5:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-02-26 | Real Madrid 2:1 S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) Champions League | Real Madrid CF to win | Won |
| 2026-02-25 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 4:1 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge KV) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid vs Club Brugge KV O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-02-24 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 4:1 Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge KV) Champions League | Club Atlético de Madrid -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-02-21 | RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2026-02-17 | Galatasaray SK 5:2 Juventus FC Champions League | Galatasaray SK vs Juventus FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-02-08 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 2.5 | Won |