Polymarket · Football · Basketball
Trotz.85 is a World Cup pro on Polymarket: 63 picks, 68.3% win rate, $13K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 40 won, 20 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 37 | 37 | 24 | 64.9% |
| Men's College Basketball | 23 | 23 | 16 | 69.6% |
Trotz.85 mainly predicts World Cup: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.3% hit rate over 63 orders, P&L $13K, ROI 32.1%. In World Cup, 24 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-07-12 01:04 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | corners 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina to advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Argentina -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Netherlands (Bosnia-Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | exact score 1 - 1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium to win | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico to advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | corners 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | draw | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) FIFA World Cup | Curaçao vs Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | corners 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | corners 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cabo Verde FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cabo Verde O/U 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | United States vs Australia O/U 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | draw at halftime | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (DR Congo) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs DR Congo O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | corners 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | draw | Lost |
| 2026-04-04 | Illinois Fighting Illini 62:71 Connecticut Huskies Men's College Basketball | Connecticut Huskies vs Illinois Fighting Illini O/U 139.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Duke Blue Devils 72:73 Connecticut Huskies Men's College Basketball | Connecticut Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils O/U 145.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-30 | Duke Blue Devils 72:73 Connecticut Huskies Men's College Basketball | Connecticut Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils O/U 146.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Iowa State Cyclones 62:76 Tennessee Volunteers Men's College Basketball | Iowa State Cyclones -4.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Iowa State Cyclones 82:63 Kentucky Wildcats Men's College Basketball | Kentucky Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones O/U 146.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-23 | Alabama Crimson Tide 90:65 Texas Tech Red Raiders Men's College Basketball | Alabama Crimson Tide -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-23 | Purdue Boilermakers 79:69 Miami Hurricanes Men's College Basketball | Miami Hurricanes vs Purdue Boilermakers O/U 156.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-22 | Houston Cougars 88:57 Texas A&M Aggies Men's College Basketball | Houston Cougars -10.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-22 | Illinois Fighting Illini 76:55 VCU Rams Men's College Basketball | Illinois Fighting Illini -10.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami Hurricanes 80:66 Missouri Tigers Men's College Basketball | Missouri Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes O/U 145.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami Hurricanes 80:66 Missouri Tigers Men's College Basketball | Missouri Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes O/U 146.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-20 | Kentucky Wildcats 89:84 Santa Clara Broncos Men's College Basketball | Santa Clara Broncos vs Kentucky Wildcats O/U 157.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-20 | Purdue Boilermakers 104:71 Queens (NC) Royals Men's College Basketball | Queens (NC) Royals vs Purdue Boilermakers O/U 162.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-20 | Alabama Crimson Tide 90:70 Hofstra Pride Men's College Basketball | Alabama Crimson Tide -11.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-20 | Illinois Fighting Illini 105:70 Penn Quakers Men's College Basketball | Illinois Fighting Illini -24.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-20 | BYU Cougars 71:79 Texas Longhorns Men's College Basketball | BYU Cougars -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-20 | Duke Blue Devils 71:65 Siena Saints Men's College Basketball | Duke Blue Devils -28.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 82:72 Navy Midshipmen Men's College Basketball | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 89:79 SMU Mustangs Men's College Basketball | SMU Mustangs -7.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | Miami (OH) RedHawks 89:79 SMU Mustangs Men's College Basketball | SMU Mustangs -6.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | UMBC Retrievers 83:86 Howard Bison Men's College Basketball | Howard Bison to win | Won |
| 2026-03-14 | Virginia Cavaliers 84:62 Miami Hurricanes Men's College Basketball | Virginia Cavaliers -3.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-11 | Virginia Tech Hokies 89:95 Wake Forest Demon Deacons Men's College Basketball | Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win | Won |