Polymarket · Football
JM4153 is a Bundesliga pro on Polymarket: 93 picks, 65.6% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 41 won, 19 lost, 68.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 18 | 18 | 11 | 61.1% |
| Ligue 1 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| Liga Portugal | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| FA Cup | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Scottish Premiership | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
JM4153 mainly predicts Bundesliga: 18 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.6% hit rate over 93 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 19.0%. In Bundesliga, 11 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-02-16 20:02 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Macclesfield FC 0:1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) FA Cup | Brentford FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-16 | Olympique Lyonnais 2:0 OGC Nice Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais to win | Won |
| 2026-02-16 | AVS Futebol 3:0 G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril Praia) Liga Portugal | Estoril Praia to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-16 | RB Leipzig 2:2 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | Le Havre AC 2:1 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Toulouse FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-15 | CD Nacional 0:1 FC Porto Liga Portugal | FC Porto to win | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Grimsby Town FC 0:1 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC) FA Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-15 | Oxford United F.C. (Oxford United FC) 0:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) FA Cup | Sunderland AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-14 | SV Werder Bremen 0:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-02-14 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 4:0 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2026-02-12 | Celtic F.C. (Celtic FC) 2:1 Livingston FC Scottish Premiership | Celtic FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-10 | FC Porto 1:1 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | FC Porto to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-09 | S.L. Benfica (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) 2:1 F.C. Alverca (FC Alverca) Liga Portugal | Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win | Won |
| 2026-02-08 | FC Nantes 0:1 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-07 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0:2 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | Hamburger SV to win | Won |
| 2026-02-04 | Club Atlético Banfield (CA Banfield) 2:1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (AA Estudiantes) Argentina Primera Division | AA Estudiantes to win | Won |
| 2026-02-04 | St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) 1:0 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Scottish Premiership | Heart of Midlothian FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-03 | Casa Pia A.C. (Casa Pia AC) 2:1 FC Porto Liga Portugal | FC Porto to win | Lost |
| 2026-02-02 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:2 Paris Saint-Germain FC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-01 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 0:3 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Scottish Premiership | Heart of Midlothian FC to win | Won |
| 2026-02-01 | Hamburger SV 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-31 | RB Leipzig 1:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-25 | FC Metz 2:5 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais to win | Won |
| 2026-01-25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart to win | Won |
| 2026-01-25 | CA Barracas Central 0:1 Club Atlético River Plate (CA River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | CA River Plate to win | Won |
| 2026-01-25 | F.C. Arouca (FC Arouca) 1:2 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Sporting CP to win | Won |
| 2026-01-24 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 3:1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-24 | FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) 0:0 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | Hamburger SV to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-24 | AJ Auxerre 0:1 Paris Saint-Germain FC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-19 | Vitória S.C. (Vitória SC) 0:1 FC Porto Liga Portugal | FC Porto to win | Won |
| 2026-01-17 | RB Leipzig 1:5 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-01-17 | 1. FC Köln 2:1 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win | Won |
| 2026-01-17 | VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-17 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 3:0 Lille OSC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-01-15 | 1. FC Köln 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-01-14 | VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Won |
| 2026-01-11 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 0:2 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Scottish Premiership | Rangers FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-11 | Derby County F.C. (Derby County FC) 1:3 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) FA Cup | Leeds United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-10 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham United FC) 2:1 Queens Park Rangers F.C. (Queens Park Rangers FC) FA Cup | West Ham United FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-01-10 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 3:1 Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) FA Cup | Fulham FC to win | Won |
| 2026-01-10 | Cheltenham Town FC 0:2 Leicester City F.C. (Leicester City FC) FA Cup | Leicester City FC to win | Won |
| 2025-12-13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:3 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Won |
| 2025-12-08 | CD Tondela 0:2 FC Porto Liga Portugal | FC Porto to win | Won |
| 2025-12-04 | Dundee United F.C. (Dundee United FC) 2:2 Rangers F.C. (Rangers FC) Scottish Premiership | Rangers FC to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-23 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 3:0 Le Havre AC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-22 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 6:2 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2025-11-18 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 1:0 Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | Northern Ireland to win | Won |
| 2025-11-18 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 2:3 Poland men's national football team (Poland) World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | Poland to win | Won |
| 2025-11-18 | Germany 6:0 Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | Germany to win | Won |
| 2025-11-17 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | Italy to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-16 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | England to win | Won |
| 2025-11-15 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 1:1 Netherlands World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | Netherlands to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-13 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:2 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) World Cup 2026 Qualification Europe | Iceland to win | Won |
| 2025-11-10 | Olympique Lyonnais 2:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2025-11-10 | FC Famalicão 0:1 FC Porto Liga Portugal | FC Porto to win | Won |
| 2025-11-03 | Stade Brestois 29 0:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Olympique Lyonnais to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-02 | FC Nantes 0:2 FC Metz Ligue 1 | FC Nantes to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-02 | VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | VfL Wolfsburg to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-02 | 1. FC Köln 4:1 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | 1. FC Köln to win | Won |
| 2025-11-02 | AJ Auxerre 0:1 Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1 | Olympique de Marseille to win | Won |