Polymarket · Football · Basketball
shadow. is a Champions League pro on Polymarket: 154 picks, 64.3% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 37 | 37 | 19 | 51.4% |
| Men's College Basketball | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| Bundesliga | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| EFL Championship | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
shadow. mainly predicts Champions League: 37 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.3% hit rate over 154 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 28.8%. In Champions League, 19 of 37 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-05-30 13:59 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-16 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:3 Real Madrid Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-16 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:3 Real Madrid Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-04-16 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 0:0 Sporting CP Champions League | Arsenal FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-04-16 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 4:3 Real Madrid Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-15 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:2 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Liverpool FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-15 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-12 | VfB Stuttgart 4:0 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-12 | VfB Stuttgart 4:0 Hamburger SV Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-04-11 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | 1. FC Union Berlin to win | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-09 | FC Barcelona 0:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | FC Barcelona -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-08 | Real Madrid 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Champions League | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Michigan Wolverines 90:77 Alabama Crimson Tide Men's College Basketball | Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines O/U 172.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | Michigan Wolverines 90:77 Alabama Crimson Tide Men's College Basketball | Alabama Crimson Tide to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-28 | Duke Blue Devils 80:75 St. John's Red Storm Men's College Basketball | St. John's Red Storm vs Duke Blue Devils O/U 141.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Duke Blue Devils 80:75 St. John's Red Storm Men's College Basketball | Duke Blue Devils -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-28 | Duke Blue Devils 80:75 St. John's Red Storm Men's College Basketball | St. John's Red Storm to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-21 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-03-21 | Sheffield United F.C. (Sheffield United FC) 1:2 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | Sheffield United FC vs Wrexham AFC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-21 | Miami Hurricanes 80:66 Missouri Tigers Men's College Basketball | Miami Hurricanes -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-21 | RB Leipzig 5:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-20 | Arkansas Razorbacks 97:78 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Men's College Basketball | Arkansas Razorbacks -15.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-20 | Vanderbilt Commodores 78:68 McNeese State Cowboys Men's College Basketball | Vanderbilt Commodores -11.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-20 | Wisconsin Badgers 82:83 High Point Panthers Men's College Basketball | High Point Panthers to win | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Louisville Cardinals 83:79 South Florida Bulls Men's College Basketball | Louisville Cardinals -4.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | Louisville Cardinals 83:79 South Florida Bulls Men's College Basketball | Louisville Cardinals to win | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:0 Galatasaray SK Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 3:2 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Champions League | both teams to score | Lost |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Champions League | Newcastle United FC to win | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Champions League | FC Barcelona -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-19 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Champions League | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Champions League | Arsenal FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | Manchester City FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Champions League | Arsenal FC vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Chelsea FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | draw | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:3 Paris Saint-Germain FC Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | draw | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | Manchester City FC vs Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1:2 Real Madrid Champions League | Manchester City FC -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-18 | Sporting CP 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | Sporting CP vs FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-18 | Sporting CP 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-03-17 | Sporting CP 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | draw | Won |
| 2026-03-17 | Sporting CP 5:0 FK Bodø/Glimt Champions League | Sporting CP -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-17 | Portsmouth F.C. (Portsmouth FC) 0:1 Derby County F.C. (Derby County FC) EFL Championship | Derby County FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-15 | SC Freiburg 0:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-15 | SC Freiburg 0:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-15 | SC Freiburg 0:1 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga | SC Freiburg to win | Won |
| 2026-03-15 | SV Werder Bremen 0:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-15 | SV Werder Bremen 0:2 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | SV Werder Bremen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 O/U 2.5 | Won |