Polymarket · Football
fkarasek is a Bundesliga pro on Polymarket: 34 picks, 76.5% win rate, $609 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 34 have settled: 26 won, 8 lost, 76.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| Intl Friendlies | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| Eredivisie | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
fkarasek mainly predicts Bundesliga: 12 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.5% hit rate over 34 orders, P&L $609, ROI 51.9%. In Bundesliga, 8 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2025-12-21 03:12 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0:4 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2025-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) 2:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2025-12-12 | 1. FC Union Berlin 3:1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart 0:5 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | Bayern München to win | Lost |
| 2025-12-06 | SC Heerenveen 0:2 PSV Eindhoven (PSV) Eredivisie | PSV to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-29 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-29 | SV Werder Bremen 1:1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | Werder Bremen to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-24 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 0:0 CA Barracas Central Argentina Primera Division | CD Riestra to win | Won |
| 2025-11-23 | Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:4 N.E.C. (NEC) Eredivisie | Feyenoord Rotterdam to win | Won |
| 2025-11-23 | SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) 1:1 FC Utrecht Eredivisie | FC Utrecht to win | Won |
| 2025-11-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:2 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Mexico to win | Won |
| 2025-11-19 | United States men's national soccer team (United States) 5:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | Uruguay to win | Won |
| 2025-11-17 | CA Vélez Sarsfield 0:0 Club Atlético River Plate (CA River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | CA River Plate to win | Won |
| 2025-11-17 | Estudiantes de La Plata 1:2 Argentinos Juniors (AA Argentinos Juniors) Argentina Primera Division | Estudiantes de La Plata to win | Won |
| 2025-11-14 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:0 Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic to win | Won |
| 2025-11-14 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 2:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) Intl Friendlies | Japan to win | Won |
| 2025-11-11 | Argentinos Juniors (AA Argentinos Juniors) 1:0 Club Atlético Belgrano (CA Belgrano) Argentina Primera Division | AA Argentinos Juniors to win | Won |
| 2025-11-11 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 0:1 CA Independiente Argentina Primera Division | CD Riestra to win | Won |
| 2025-11-11 | Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata) 2:0 CA Vélez Sarsfield Argentina Primera Division | CA Vélez Sarsfield to win | Won |
| 2025-11-09 | FC Utrecht 2:1 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | draw | Won |
| 2025-11-04 | Club Atlético Banfield (CA Banfield) 2:1 Club Atlético Lanús (CA Lanús) Argentina Primera Division | CA Banfield to win | Lost |
| 2025-11-04 | Club Atlético Belgrano (CA Belgrano) 0:0 Club Atlético Tigre (CA Tigre) Argentina Primera Division | CA Belgrano to win | Won |
| 2025-10-31 | FC Augsburg 0:1 Borussia Dortmund (BV Borussia 09 Dortmund) Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund to win | Won |
| 2025-10-25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2025-10-15 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | Colombia to win | Won |
| 2025-10-14 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:0 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Korea Republic to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-14 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 3:2 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Brazil to win | Won |
| 2025-10-13 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:2 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | Uzbekistan to win | Won |
| 2025-10-04 | NAC Breda 1:2 FC Groningen Eredivisie | FC Groningen to win | Lost |
| 2025-10-04 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0:1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | 1899 Hoffenheim to win | Won |
| 2025-10-01 | CA Newell's Old Boys 1:1 Estudiantes de La Plata Argentina Primera Division | Estudiantes de La Plata to win | Won |
| 2025-09-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | Bayer Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2025-09-20 | VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FC St. Pauli (FC St. Pauli 1910) Bundesliga | VfB Stuttgart to win | Won |
| 2025-09-19 | RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | RB Leipzig to win | Lost |