Polymarket · Football
Kretsche is a La Liga pro on Polymarket: 277 picks, 65.0% win rate, $17K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 40 won, 20 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 20 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| DFB Pokal | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| Bundesliga 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Europa League | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| FA Cup | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
Kretsche mainly predicts La Liga: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.0% hit rate over 277 orders, P&L $17K, ROI 18.2%. In La Liga, 12 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-06-04 20:22 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | France 1:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) Intl Friendlies | France vs Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 1:1 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) Intl Friendlies | Spain -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | France 1:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Côte d'Ivoire) Intl Friendlies | France -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 2:2 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Intl Friendlies | Sweden vs Greece O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Intl Friendlies | Croatia vs Belgium O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 1:0 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) Intl Friendlies | Austria vs Tunisia O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Intl Friendlies | Norway vs Sweden O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) 2:1 Malta men's national football team (Malta) Intl Friendlies | Slovakia vs Malta O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-01 | Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) 2:1 Malta men's national football team (Malta) Intl Friendlies | Slovakia -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1:0 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1:0 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | corners 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Villarreal CF (Villarreal) 5:1 Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) La Liga | Villarreal CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 3:0 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal | FC Bayern München -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Valencia CF 3:1 FC Barcelona La Liga | Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona O/U 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Real Madrid 4:2 Athletic Club (Athletic Bilbao) La Liga | Real Madrid CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | Valencia CF 3:1 FC Barcelona La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 3:0 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal | FC Bayern München -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) 3:0 VfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal | FC Bayern München to win | Won |
| 2026-05-20 | SC Freiburg 0:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa) Europa League | Aston Villa FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-17 | SG Dynamo Dresden 2:1 Holstein Kiel Bundesliga 2 | SG Dynamo Dresden to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) FA Cup | Manchester City FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) FA Cup | Manchester City FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-16 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) FA Cup | Chelsea FC vs Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-15 | Real Madrid 2:0 Real Oviedo La Liga | Real Madrid CF -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-05-11 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid La Liga | FC Barcelona -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-11 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-05-11 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid La Liga | Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-05-11 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid La Liga | Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer | Won |
| 2026-05-11 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid La Liga | Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-05-11 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid La Liga | Dani Olmo: Anytime Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-05-10 | Hertha BSC 2:1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Bundesliga 2 | Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-10 | Hertha BSC 2:1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth Bundesliga 2 | Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-08 | SC Freiburg 3:1 S.C. Braga (SC Braga) Europa League | SC Freiburg -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-05-08 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 0:1 Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) Conference League | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-08 | SC Freiburg 3:1 S.C. Braga (SC Braga) Europa League | SC Freiburg to win | Won |
| 2026-05-05 | Sevilla 1:0 Real Sociedad (Real Sociedad de Fútbol) La Liga | Sevilla FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-01 | FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1:3 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Conference League | Crystal Palace FC to win | Won |
| 2026-05-01 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 2:1 SC Freiburg Europa League | SC Braga vs SC Freiburg O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-01 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 1:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Europa League | Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-01 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 2:1 SC Freiburg Europa League | SC Braga to win | Won |
| 2026-05-01 | Rayo Vallecano (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid) 1:0 RC Strasbourg Alsace Conference League | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | VfB Stuttgart 2:1 SC Freiburg DFB Pokal | SC Freiburg to win | Won |
| 2026-04-24 | VfB Stuttgart 2:1 SC Freiburg DFB Pokal | VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) DFB Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-23 | FC Barcelona 1:0 RC Celta de Vigo La Liga | FC Barcelona -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-04-23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:2 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) DFB Pokal | FC Bayern München -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Hannover 96 1:1 SV Elversberg (SV 07 Elversberg) Bundesliga 2 | Hannover 96 vs SV 07 Elversberg O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) 1:0 Karlsruher SC Bundesliga 2 | FC Schalke 04 to win | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Schalke 04 (FC Schalke 04) 1:0 Karlsruher SC Bundesliga 2 | FC Schalke 04 vs Karlsruher SC O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | Club Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | Club Atlético de Madrid vs FC Barcelona O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | Halftime · FC Barcelona leading | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | Southampton F.C. (Southampton FC) 2:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) FA Cup | Southampton FC vs Arsenal FC O/U 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | SG Dynamo Dresden 0:1 Hertha BSC Bundesliga 2 | SG Dynamo Dresden to win | Lost |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | FC Barcelona to win | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlético Madrid (Club Atlético de Madrid) 1:2 FC Barcelona La Liga | corners 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-04-05 | Real Betis Balompié 0:0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona La Liga | draw | Won |
| 2026-04-04 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 7:0 Port Vale F.C. (Port Vale FC) FA Cup | Chelsea FC vs Port Vale FC O/U 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-04-04 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 7:0 Port Vale F.C. (Port Vale FC) FA Cup | Chelsea FC -2.5 spread | Won |