Kalshi · Basketball
understandtryed is a NBA Summer League pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 62.1% win rate, $798 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 23 won, 37 lost, 38.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Summer League | 23 | 23 | 13 | 56.5% |
| NCAAF | 18 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% |
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
understandtryed mainly predicts NBA Summer League: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.1% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $798, ROI 60.5%. In NBA Summer League, 13 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 23:10 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | CLE +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Colorado Buffaloes 7:29 Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAF | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23:56 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | Mississippi St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Temple wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3:1 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Miami MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Philadelphia 6:4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14:26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Louisville wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas State Bobcats 49:35 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | North Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Kansas State Wildcats 31:20 Tulane Green Wave NCAAF | Tulane wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Blue Hens 22:14 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers NCAAF | Coastal Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Houston to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 27:13 Syracuse Orange NCAAF | Syracuse wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Tampa Bay 10:1 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7:4 Milwaukee MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Boston College Eagles 28:21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAAF | Rutgers wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Atlanta Braves 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | Washington St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Boise St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Houston 33:20 Oregon State Beavers NCAAF | Oregon St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49:21 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | Ohio wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Memphis 90:94 Golden NBA Summer League | Over 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) 81:86 San Antonio NBA Summer League | Over 175.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Over 216.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Over 195.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | New 88:110 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Over 178.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | New 77:87 Golden NBA Summer League | Over 176.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Houston 100:83 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Over 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Oklahoma 87:97 Dallas Wings (Dallas) NBA Summer League | Over 185.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Over 186.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | Over 178.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76:82 Boston NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) 76:82 Boston NBA Summer League | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Over 186.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Over 189.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Over 145.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Over 177.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Cleveland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Over 184.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Philadelphia 92:99 Orlando NBA Summer League | Over 182.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | Over 200.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota winner | Lost |