Kalshi · Football
tstaff is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 171 picks, 67.3% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 34 | 34 | 24 | 70.6% |
| Liga MX | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Brasileiro Serie C | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| EFL Championship | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
tstaff mainly predicts MLB: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.3% hit rate over 171 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 20.5%. In MLB, 24 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-19 22:47 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Avai 2:1 Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | F5 MIN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | F5 Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 4:2 San Diego Padres MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 4:2 San Diego Padres MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Colorado Rockies 6:7 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Team Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Houston Astros 1:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Team Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Houston Astros 1:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Team Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Team Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Team Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds 0:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds 0:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Team Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Sao Paulo 3:1 Bolivar CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds 0:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Minnesota Twins 4:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:10 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | F5 TOR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cleveland Guardians 8:1 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 0:3 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | 1H Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | CF Pachuca 2:3 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Club Necaxa 1:2 Leon Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | F5 Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Team Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Team Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Team Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | C.D. Palestino (CD Palestino) 5:1 Club Deportivo Huachipato (CD Huachipato) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Mendoza 3:1 Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Guarani Futebol Clube (Guarani) 2:2 Ypiranga Brasileiro Serie C | Guarani vs Ypiranga Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Reds 6:5 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | STL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | F5 DET +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Macara 1:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Guarani Futebol Clube (Guarani) 2:2 Ypiranga Brasileiro Serie C | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Guarani Futebol Clube (Guarani) 2:2 Ypiranga Brasileiro Serie C | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) 1:1 Remo Brasileiro Serie A | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Guarani Futebol Clube (Guarani) 2:2 Ypiranga Brasileiro Serie C | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 1:1 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:3 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Palermo F.C. (Palermo FC) 2:0 US Lecce Coppa Italia | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff) 1:1 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Unión Deportiva Almería (UD Almería) 3:0 CD Eldense La Liga 2 | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cardiff City F.C. (Cardiff) 1:1 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) EFL Championship | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |