Kalshi · Football
tired.groundhog0085 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 27 picks, 74.1% win rate, $464 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 41 won, 15 lost, 73.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 31 | 31 | 23 | 74.2% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Europa League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
tired.groundhog0085 mainly predicts World Cup: 31 of the last 56 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 74.1% hit rate over 27 orders, P&L $464, ROI 28.4%. In World Cup, 23 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 14:59 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:0 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Purdue Boilermakers 26:38 Washington NCAAF | Purdue wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 2:3 Besiktas Europa League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Austin FC 1:4 Nashville SC MLS | Nashville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Tennessee 24:14 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | 1H Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 23:13 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAAF | JVST +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Cam Skattebo: 3+ receptions | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | 1Q Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | MISS -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | 1H Over 27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Colorado Rockies 3:9 San Diego Padres MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Washington Nationals 0:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 0:0 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | FC Barcelona 2:0 Bilbao La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France: 11+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Athletics 7:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 7+ corners | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 8+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Washington Mystics 124:123 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 10+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | MEX -1.5 | Won |