Kalshi · Basketball
thin.charm is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 32 picks, 78.1% win rate, $488 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NFL | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Premier League | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Saudi Pro League | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| MLS | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
thin.charm mainly predicts WNBA: 9 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.1% hit rate over 32 orders, P&L $488, ROI 73.3%. In WNBA, 5 of 9 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 01:46 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | 1H Under 115.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Houston Rockets 120:110 Atlanta Hawks NBA | 1H Over 117.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta Falcons 23:31 Chicago Bears NFL | 1H Over 24.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Miami (FL) 43:35 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Over 56.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 3:2 Como 1907 Champions League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Lions 31:24 New York Jets NFL | Over 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | Over 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pittsburgh Steelers 30:27 Cincinnati Bengals NFL | 1H Over 20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida State Seminoles 34:7 Central Arkansas Bears NCAAF | 1H Over 37.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 49:14 Sam Houston Bearkats NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 49:14 Sam Houston Bearkats NCAAF | 1H Over 30.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Poland men's national football team (Poland) 0:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) Nations League | Poland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Over 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | 1H Over 23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Final score Fulham FC wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84:0 Portland State Vikings NCAAF | 1H Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:2 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Atlanta 2:3 Orlando MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 2:3 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 2:3 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 0:2 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Pro League | HIL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 0:2 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Pro League | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester United vs Ipswich Town Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Over 161.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | 1H Over 78.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 3:2 West Bromwich Albion F.C. (West Bromwich) EFL Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Ettifaq FC (Al-Ittifaq) 2:3 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Ettifaq FC (Al-Ittifaq) 2:3 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 71:78 Atlanta Dream WNBA | 1H Over 88.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 71:78 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 181.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Minnesota Lynx 66:80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | 1H Under 79.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Minnesota Lynx 66:80 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Under 161.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham vs Chelsea Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 2:1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Frosinone Calcio 0:1 Juventus FC Serie A | Frosinone vs Juventus Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) German Super Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) German Super Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Washington Mystics 84:94 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Over 166.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Al-Riyadh SC (Al-Riyadh) 0:4 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Al-Riyadh SC (Al-Riyadh) 0:4 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:4 FC Dallas MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Atletico 2:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Atletico win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles FC 0:1 San Diego FC MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 1:1 Minnesota MLS | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Rio Ave F.C. (Rio Ave FC) 0:2 FC Porto Liga Portugal | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Connecticut Sun 75:82 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 176.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Seattle Storm 82:84 Portland Fire WNBA | Under 180.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 3:1 FC Dallas Leagues Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |