Kalshi · Football
takeachancewithmatty is a Premier League pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 68.4% win rate, $366 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 32 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% |
| Leagues Cup | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| MLS | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Intl Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
takeachancewithmatty mainly predicts Premier League: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $366, ROI 76.9%. In Premier League, 13 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 23:19 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Real Sociedad 2:1 Levante UD La Liga | Final score Real Sociedad San Sebastian wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Real Sociedad 2:1 Levante UD La Liga | RSO -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Leeds United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | 7+ total corners | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Final score Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 1:1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:2 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 0:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | FUL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | Dalton Kincaid: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Las Vegas Raiders 30:33 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Final score Real Madrid wins 4-1 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Team Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Final score Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | ARS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Leeds United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:0 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Toronto FC 3:3 Orlando MLS | Orlando wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 3:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 2:1 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Final score Fulham FC wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Coventry wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion record the first goal of the game | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | NEW -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Tottenham wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Elche CF 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | BAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Newcastle vs Liverpool Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Newcastle vs Liverpool Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City vs Bournemouth Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Manchester City wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 0:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Nottingham vs Leeds United Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | HUL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) 2:0 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Hull City vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | FC Cincinnati 2:1 New York City FC MLS | Cincinnati vs New York City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Community Shield | ARS -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles FC 0:1 San Diego FC MLS | Los Angeles F win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Orlando 1:1 FC Cincinnati MLS | Orlando vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Orlando 1:1 FC Cincinnati MLS | Orlando vs Cincinnati Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1:2 Chicago Fire FC Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:3 Leon Leagues Cup | Miami vs Leon Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:3 Leon Leagues Cup | MIA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Inter Miami CF 2:3 Leon Leagues Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Columbus vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1:0 Philadelphia Leagues Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1:2 Orlando Leagues Cup | Monterrey vs Orlando Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Nashville SC 0:1 Leon Leagues Cup | Nashville vs Leon Winner | Won |