Kalshi · Basketball · Football
small.film is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 53 picks, 66.0% win rate, $947 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 25 | 25 | 16 | 64.0% |
| NBA | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
small.film mainly predicts NFL: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.0% hit rate over 53 orders, P&L $947, ROI 18.9%. In NFL, 16 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 02:44 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Los Angeles Clippers 87:103 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Minnesota Timberwolves 114:119 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Tampa Bay Rays 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Under 27.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Under 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Brooklyn Nets 109:136 Indiana Pacers NBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Arizona Cardinals 16:30 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | DET -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Vikings 16:10 Indianapolis Colts NFL | MIN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | SF -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints 10:16 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Sacramento Kings 120:128 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | POR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35:38 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Washington Wizards 102:112 Toronto Raptors NBA | TOR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Memphis Grizzlies 123:103 Utah Jazz (Jazz) NBA | Lauri Markkanen: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Victor Wembanyama: 20+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | SAS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | PHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | PHI -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Detroit Pistons 121:113 Boston Celtics NBA | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Golden State Valkyries 65:79 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 143.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Golden State Valkyries 65:79 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 146.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | San Francisco win the 1st Quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Philadelphia Eagles 14:25 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Jacksonville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | 2Q Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | F5 Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 6:0 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Champions League | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 6:0 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Champions League | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:1 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jalen Hurts: 20+ rushing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jalen Hurts: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | 1Q Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |