Kalshi · Football
shmaxy is a NBA pro on Kalshi: 30 picks, 63.3% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 27 | 27 | 14 | 51.9% |
| NCAAF | 25 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Serie A | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
shmaxy mainly predicts NBA: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.3% hit rate over 30 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 27.6%. In NBA, 14 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-29 03:37 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Dallas Mavericks 120:96 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Over 230.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Utah Jazz 111:117 San Antonio Spurs NBA | Over 234.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-29 | Utah Jazz 111:117 San Antonio Spurs NBA | Over 218.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-29 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28:44 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | KENN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28:44 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | 1H Over 37.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Cleveland Cavaliers 121:111 Washington Wizards NBA | Over 240.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 0:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Over 267.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Over 263.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Over 58.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | 1H Over 139.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | 1H Over 135.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Over 245.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers 129:136 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | 1H Over 121.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-28 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 21:35 Delaware Blue Hens NCAAF | Over 73.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Jazz 123:132 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Over 265.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Brooklyn Nets 109:136 Indiana Pacers NBA | Over 54.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Jazz 123:132 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | 1H Over 138.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Atlanta Falcons 29:20 San Francisco 49ers NFL | SF +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | UTAH -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | San Antonio Spurs 110:114 Houston Rockets NBA | Over 227.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 120:119 New Orleans Pelicans NBA | Over 240.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | Over 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Miami Heat (Heat) 111:128 Detroit Pistons NBA | Over 61.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Virginia Cavaliers 16:19 Duke Blue Devils NCAAF | 1H Over 27.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | 1H Over 114.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Over 268.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Over 246.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | 1H Over 111.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Over 180.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Memphis Tigers 41:34 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | Memphis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | CLE +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Memphis Tigers 41:34 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ECU +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | 1H Over 24.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | 1H Over 110.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | Over 227.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | San Antonio Spurs 104:116 Oklahoma City Thunder NBA | 1H Over 110.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | 1H Over 108.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Indianapolis Colts 20:26 Tennessee Titans NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Texas State Bobcats 66:27 Colorado State Rams NCAAF | Over 111.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Missouri State Bears 24:21 Kennesaw State Owls NCAAF | MOSU +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Georgia Southern Eagles 24:27 James Madison Dukes NCAAF | Georgia Southern wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Utah Utes 41:24 Kansas Jayhawks NCAAF | Over 67.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Kentucky Wildcats 35:34 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | ALA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oregon Ducks 15:17 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | ORE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58:7 Stanford Cardinal NCAAF | Team Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 17:20 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | IND -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 17:21 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | San Jose St. 13:16 Wyoming Cowboys NCAAF | San Jose St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Las Vegas Raiders 27:30 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | KC +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USC Trojans 25:21 Washington NCAAF | USC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | NC St. 31:28 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | Over 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | NC St. 31:28 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Won |