Kalshi · Football · American football
sad.quest is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 60 picks, 75.0% win rate, $10K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 45 won, 15 lost, 75.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 23 | 23 | 17 | 73.9% |
| NCAAF | 17 | 17 | 12 | 70.6% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
sad.quest mainly predicts World Cup: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.0% hit rate over 60 orders, P&L $10K, ROI 23.5%. In World Cup, 17 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-26 00:36 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Detroit Lions 20:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Houston Texans 21:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | New Orleans Saints 10:16 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Utah Utes 21:13 Houston NCAAF | Utah wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | North Carolina Tar Heels 30:31 Syracuse Orange NCAAF | North Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Wisconsin Badgers 24:7 USC Trojans NCAAF | Wisconsin wins | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Texas Longhorns 34:27 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 57:24 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Clemson Tigers 16:20 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Clemson wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | UCF Knights 31:31 BYU Cougars NCAAF | BYU wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Texas Southern Tigers 24:21 Southern University NCAAF | Texas Southern wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Buffalo 31:24 Bowling Green Falcons NCAAF | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Montana State Bobcats 38:33 Weber State Wildcats NCAAF | Montana St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Arizona State Sun Devils 28:17 Kansas State Wildcats NCAAF | Arizona St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | South Carolina Gamecocks 27:24 Tennessee NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Kansas Jayhawks 25:24 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Kansas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Michigan Wolverines 6:13 Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35:38 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Wyoming Cowboys 28:14 Air Force Falcons NCAAF | Wyoming wins | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Penn 24:21 Yale NCAAF | Yale wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Maccabi Tel-Aviv 99:113 Real Madrid EuroLeague | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | Pereira 2:0 Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Pereira wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | EC Uniao Corinthians 83:74 Cruzeiro Basquete NBB Brazil | EC Uniao Corinthians wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Chicago WS 10:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Houston Astros 3:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 4:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Phoenix Mercury 72:63 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 1:2 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Ponte Preta vs Criciuma Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Hartford Athletic 2:2 Orange County SC USL Championship | Hartford Athletic vs Orange County Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Athletic Club Sjdr 0:1 Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) Brasileiro Serie B | Athletic Club Sjdr vs Ferroviario Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | San 84:88 Los Angeles Lakers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Santa Cruz FC PE 1:0 Ituano Futebol Clube (Ituano) Brasileiro Serie C | Santa Cruz FC PE vs Ituano Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Utah 103:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Birmingham Legion FC 1:2 Detroit City FC USL Championship | Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Toronto Tempo 80:89 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |