Kalshi · Football
recent.firefly2847 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 69.0% win rate, $566 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 56 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 56 have settled: 30 won, 26 lost, 53.6% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 35 | 35 | 22 | 62.9% |
| NCAAF | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
recent.firefly2847 mainly predicts World Cup: 35 of the last 56 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.0% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $566, ROI 55.5%. In World Cup, 22 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-26 01:51 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Isaiah Likely: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Travis Kelce: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | JAC -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Oregon State Beavers 52:17 Montana Grizzlies NCAAF | ORST +17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | George Pickens: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas A&M Aggies 48:20 Arizona State Sun Devils NCAAF | TXAM +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota 13:38 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | MSST -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | OKLA -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Texas Longhorns 59:7 Texas State Bobcats NCAAF | TEX -30.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | UNLV Rebels 21:27 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | UNLV -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Hawai'i to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34:8 North Carolina St. NCAAF | UVA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34:8 North Carolina St. NCAAF | UVA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Over 46.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Austin FC 1:2 FC Dallas MLS | Austin vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | MAR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan: 3+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Croatia win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | CRO -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | JPN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | 9+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | England vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | 11+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |