Kalshi · Football
papialto is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 194 picks, 67.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 36 won, 23 lost, 61.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 11 | 68.8% |
| Intl Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| AFC Champions League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Korea K League 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nations League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| AFCON | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
papialto mainly predicts MLB: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.5% hit rate over 194 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 20.3%. In MLB, 11 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-26 21:32 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Sevilla FC 2:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Inter Kashi FC 1:5 East Bengal FC Indian Super League | EB +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Gia Lai 0:2 Nghe An Vietnam V-League 1 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) 1:1 FC Midtjylland Conference League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Mardin 1:0 Karagumruk TFF 1. Lig | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | FC RFS 4:0 Super Nova Latvian Virsliga | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Umraniye 0:1 Bolu TFF 1. Lig | Under 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | MFK Vranov Nad Topou Banska Bystrica Slovakian Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Lokomotiva Kosice 0:1 Trencin Slovakian Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Wasl FC (Al Wasl) 1:3 Al Ahli Saudi Club AFC Champions League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | PAOK FC (PAOK) 1:3 Kalamata F.C. (Kalamata) Greece Super League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (Pakhtakor) 1:1 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) AFC Champions League | Final score Al Qadsiah wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (Pakhtakor) 1:1 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) AFC Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (Pakhtakor) 1:1 Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) AFC Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | United Chiba 1:1 V-Varen Nagasaki (V-Varen) Japan J1 League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Gangwon FC 2:0 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Gangwon FC 2:0 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Gangwon FC 2:0 Bucheon FC 1995 Korea K League 1 | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | SD +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) Intl Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | USA +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Toronto Raptors 105:129 Miami Heat (Heat) NBA | MIA -11.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | FK Austria Wien W 1:1 Inter Milano W Women's Champions League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Guinea men's national basketball team (Guinea) 1:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) AFCON | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 1:1 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | NYY -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Houston Astros 3:7 Chicago White Sox MLB | CWS -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Cienciano 1:1 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Lyon W 0:0 Chelsea W Women's Champions League | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Botswana men's national football team (Botswana) 2:2 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) AFCON | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Pereira 0:0 Internacional de Bogota Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USA 4:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Detroit 4:3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | PIT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Washington 1:7 New York Mets MLB | NYM -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Niger men's national football team (Niger) 2:1 Lesotho men's national football team (Lesotho) AFCON | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Colorado 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 3:1 New York Mets MLB | Texas first 5 innings winner | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Kansas City 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Andorra 1:2 Malta men's national football team (Malta) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Texas 2:7 New York Mets MLB | NYM +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees 9:2 Tampa Bay MLB | NYY -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | 1H Under 82.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | BC Neptunas Klaipeda 99:84 BC Juventus Utena Lithuania LKL | Under 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Birmingham Legion FC 4:0 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Birmingham Legion FC 4:0 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |