Kalshi · Football
paindonthurt is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 72.2% win rate, $715 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 35 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 35 have settled: 21 won, 14 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 13 | 72.2% |
| NCAAF | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
paindonthurt mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 35 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.2% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $715, ROI 62.9%. In World Cup, 13 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 16:19 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | BAL Ravens 24:18 Tennessee Titans NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Louisville wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Vanderbilt Commodores 35:31 NC St. NCAAF | Vanderbilt wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | UGA -24.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | TTU +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Tennessee Titans 10:23 New York J NFL | New York J vs Tennessee Pro Football game: Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Ole Miss to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | Team Over 13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | UNLV Rebels 21:27 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | UNLV -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |