Kalshi · Basketball · Football
outdoor.crow4005 is a Liga MX pro on Kalshi: 65 picks, 69.2% win rate, $13K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Primera División Argentina | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Brazil Serie B | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
outdoor.crow4005 mainly predicts Liga MX: 6 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.2% hit rate over 65 orders, P&L $13K, ROI 33.0%. In Liga MX, 4 of 6 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 21:31 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Milwaukee Bucks 125:132 Chicago Bulls NBA | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Cruz Azul wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Dream 101:98 New York Liberty WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Indiana Pacers 123:112 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Indiana Pacers 123:112 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Avai 2:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brazil Serie B | Londrina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Toronto FC 1:2 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | FC Supra Du Quebec wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Pumas UNAM 2:3 San Luis Liga MX | Pumas UNAM wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Gibraltar men's national football team (Gibraltar) 0:0 Andorra Nations League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Celta Fortuna 1:1 Centre d'Esports Sabadell Futbol Club (Sabadell) La Liga 2 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Boyacá Chicó F.C. (Boyaca Chico) 3:0 Pasto Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Boyaca Chico wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Club Nacional Asunción 1:1 Sportivo Ameliano APF Division de Honor | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Turkiye 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Besiktas 94:96 Valencia BC (Valencia Basket) EuroLeague | Besiktas JK wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | India men's national football team (India) 1:1 Panama men's national football team (Panama) Intl Friendlies | Panama wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | India men's national football team (India) 1:1 Panama men's national football team (Panama) Intl Friendlies | India wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) 3:2 Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Netherlands 1:1 Germany Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 2:0 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | América de Cali (America Cali) 1:0 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 175.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Asociacion Deportiva Tarma) 2:1 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | FC Barcelona W 5:2 Paris FC W Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women 0:0 Associazione Sportiva Roma W Women's Champions League | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Portland Fire 90:82 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Indiana Fever 96:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) 0:2 Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) Brazil Serie B | Criciuma wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Inter Milano W 1:0 Hacken Gothenburg W Women's Champions League | Inter Milano wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Barracas 0:1 Rivadavia Primera División Argentina | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 1:1 Leon Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 3:2 Tigre Primera División Argentina | Velez Sarsfield wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Las Vegas Aces 98:77 Seattle Storm WNBA | Dominique Malonga: 1+ threes | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 3:0 Cienciano CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Montevideo City To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Club Real Tomayapo (CD Real Tomayapo) 0:2 Oriente Bolivia Premier Division | Oriente wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Club Real Tomayapo (CD Real Tomayapo) 0:2 Oriente Bolivia Premier Division | CD Real Tomayapo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Getafe CF La Liga | RBB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Dorados de Chihuahua 97:86 El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP | El Calor de Cancun wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 0:1 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Botafogo FC 3:2 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brazil Serie A | Botafogo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Atletico Mineiro To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona 7:2 Santander La Liga | Karim Adeyemi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Sao Paulo 1:1 Boca Juniors CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Boca Juniors To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 2:0 Independ. Santa Fe CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Vinicius Junior: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Avai 1:1 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brazil Serie B | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) 2:1 Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) Primera División Argentina | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) 2:1 Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) Primera División Argentina | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Once Caldas 1:2 Cali Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) 1:1 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brazil Serie B | Fortaleza wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 1:0 Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) Serie A | Napoli wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD 2:4 FC Barcelona La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Palmeiras 2:0 Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid 4:1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) 2:1 Club Atlético Platense (Platense) Primera División Argentina | Estudiantes La Plata wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:1 AS Monaco FC Ligue 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana de Caliente 0:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | TIJ +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 0:3 CF Pachuca Liga MX | Pachuca wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Club Necaxa 0:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Necaxa wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Jaguares 2:2 Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 1.5 | Won |