Kalshi · Baseball
optimal.binary is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 58.8% win rate, $930 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 37 won, 22 lost, 62.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 16 | 16 | 9 | 56.3% |
| NFL | 13 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| FIBA World Cup (W) | 10 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
optimal.binary mainly predicts MLB: 16 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 58.8% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $930, ROI 11.8%. In MLB, 9 of 16 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-22 01:50 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Los Angeles Lakers 127:105 Golden State Warriors NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | GB -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | New England Patriots 26:19 New York Jets NFL | NE -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Alabama Crimson Tide 17:20 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | Georgia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Golden State Valkyries 83:81 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | GS +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Intl Friendlies | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | North Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Liberty 87:71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | New York wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Liberty 87:71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:3 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | DAL -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Texas 4:2 Boston MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Spain women's national association football team (Spain W) 66:76 USA W FIBA World Cup (W) | USA -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | SF +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Australia W 66:89 Spain women's national association football team (Spain W) FIBA World Cup (W) | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles Dodgers 14:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 9:2 Washington Nationals MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Italy women's national football team (Italy W) 80:82 Australia W FIBA World Cup (W) | Italy wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Detroit Tigers 5:4 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Italy women's national football team (Italy W) 51:71 China W FIBA World Cup (W) | CHN -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Italy women's national football team (Italy W) 51:71 China W FIBA World Cup (W) | Italy wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Italy women's national football team (Italy W) 52:55 USA W FIBA World Cup (W) | USA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Italy women's national football team (Italy W) 52:55 USA W FIBA World Cup (W) | USA -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Texas A&M Aggies 50:0 Missouri State Bears NCAAF | TXAM -27.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | France women's national football team (France W) 95:69 Republic of Korea W FIBA World Cup (W) | FRA -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) 0:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | LFC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Spain women's national association football team (Spain W) 83:53 Germany women's national football team (Germany W) FIBA World Cup (W) | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Australia W 70:54 Puerto Rico W FIBA World Cup (W) | AUS -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Angels 3:7 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 10:1 New York Yankees MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | BAR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees 16:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Liberty 85:66 Chicago Sky WNBA | NY -10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 88:82 Washington Mystics WNBA | Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta Dream 83:101 Portland Fire WNBA | PDX -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 5:1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | BMU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Phoenix Mercury 73:80 Washington Mystics WNBA | WSH -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Seattle Storm 90:78 Toronto Tempo WNBA | SEA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Dallas Wings 96:78 Portland Fire WNBA | DAL -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |