Kalshi · Football
ombre.nomade is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 73.2% win rate, $457 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 32 | 78.0% |
| Premier League | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Bundesliga | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
ombre.nomade mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.2% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $457, ROI 24.2%. In World Cup, 32 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-23 00:22 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Philadelphia 76ers 114:106 Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | Over 221.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Orlando Magic 125:132 Atlanta Hawks NBA | Under 239.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | New York wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 3:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 6:1 Leipzig Bundesliga | Bayern Munich wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 3:0 Lille OSC (Lille) Champions League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Nottingham Forest wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:1 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | FC Porto 0:2 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Champions League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:1 Como 1907 Club Friendlies | Arsenal vs Como Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Manchester United vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx 82:89 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Under 190.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | K-League Allstars Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Club Friendlies | K-League Allstars vs Manchester City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal vs Iraq Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Won |