Kalshi · Football
northern.bear3015 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 84 picks, 65.5% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 57 | 57 | 35 | 61.4% |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
northern.bear3015 mainly predicts World Cup: 57 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.5% hit rate over 84 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 25.5%. In World Cup, 35 of 57 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-24 17:41 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Rosenborg BK 0:5 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | MUN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Regulation Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Fares Chaibi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Norway win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands win in Regulation Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | COD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | BEL -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |