Kalshi · Baseball · Football
nail.pill is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 68.8% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 22 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% |
| NCAAF | 14 | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Ligue 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
nail.pill mainly predicts MLB: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 38.9%. In MLB, 16 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-13 11:02 UTC+0. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Dijon 4:2 FC Metz Ligue 2 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Bhayshul Tuten: 60+ rushing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) 2:1 M´gladbach Bundesliga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Elche CF 0:0 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Michigan State Spartans 37:38 Illinois Fighting Illini NCAAF | Illinois wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | LOU +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 2:1 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Ligue 1 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | UNLV Rebels 39:31 California Golden Bears NCAAF | UNLV +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | Penn St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Dominica 1:5 Guyana CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Atlanta Braves 6:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Team Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Team Under 22.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) 1:1 Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) Nations League | Lithuania wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Las Vegas Aces 102:85 Indiana Fever WNBA | LV +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | LSU Tigers 35:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Solihull Moors F.C. (Solihull) 0:3 Boreham Wood F.C. (Boreham) English National League | Boreham wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oregon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Philadelphia 0:2 Tampa Bay MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | Liberty wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | PIT +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Colorado 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Philadelphia 1:4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit 2:4 Washington MLB | DET +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:0 St. Louis MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4:3 Toronto MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | St. Louis 5:3 Washington MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 0:1 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Arkansas Razorbacks 17:45 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) NCAAF | UGA -24.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:9 New York Yankees MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | AS Monaco FC 2:1 R.C. Lens (Lens) Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | TTU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 3:4 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Chicago Sky 80:110 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Houston Astros 2:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | HOU +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Mets 5:7 Baltimore MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Cleveland Guardians 3:7 Chicago WS MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Boston Red Sox 4:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Under 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) 1:1 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Celta Vigo wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | TEX +2.5 | Won |