Kalshi · Football
mr.llamas is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 123 picks, 68.3% win rate, $7K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 26 won, 34 lost, 43.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 13 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% |
| Serie A | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| EFL Cup | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
mr.llamas mainly predicts Nations League: 13 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.3% hit rate over 123 orders, P&L $7K, ROI 24.5%. In Nations League, 6 of 13 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 21:10 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Fleetwood Town F.C. (Fleetwood) 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) EFL Cup | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Benevento Calcio 1:1 Unione Sportiva Catanzaro (US Catanzaro 1929) Serie B | Benevento wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | AZ Alkmaar (Alkmaar) 0:2 Enschede Eredivisie | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:3 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Juventus FC 0:3 SS Lazio Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Udinese Calcio 0:3 US Lecce Serie A | Udinese wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Sparta Rotterdam (Sparta) 3:2 Willem II Eredivisie | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Hellas Verona FC 2:2 Unione Sportiva Catanzaro (US Catanzaro 1929) Serie B | Hellas Verona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Famalicao 1:4 F.C. Alverca (FC Alverca) Liga Portugal | Famalicao wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Malmö FF (Malmo) 1:0 Kalmar Allsvenskan | Malmo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | SS Lazio 3:1 AC Monza Serie A | Lazio wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | SC Freiburg 2:1 Schalke 04 (Schalke) Bundesliga | Freiburg wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Augsburg 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | AS Monaco FC 2:2 Toulouse FC Ligue 1 | Monaco wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:3 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) 1:1 QPR EFL Championship | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 1:2 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Nations League | Scotland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Ireland 1:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | Ireland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 0:1 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 1:0 Andorra Nations League | Malta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) Nations League | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Boca Juniors 3:0 Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) Argentina Primera Division | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Nations League | Kazakhstan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 0:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) 0:3 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | ALB -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:3 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 0:0 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0:1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | SD Eibar (Eibar) 3:2 UD Las Palmas La Liga 2 | Eibar wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 2:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) AFCON | Ivory Coast wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven Women 0:0 Associazione Sportiva Roma W Women's Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) 2:1 Plzen Czech First League | Slavia Prague wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Brøndby IF (Broendby) 0:1 Copenhagen Danish Superliga | Copenhagen wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Cavalry FC 1:1 Hamilton Canadian Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 0:2 SS Lazio Serie A | Lazio wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | FK Vojvodina (FK Vojvodina Novi Sad) 1:1 IMT Novi Beograd Serbian SuperLiga | Vojvodina Novi Sad wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | San Diego Wave FC 2:0 Kansas City Current NWSL | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | KAA Gent (Gent) 2:1 Standard Belgian Pro League | Gent wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Espanyol wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Bucaramanga 2:2 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Lillestroem 1:2 S.C.U. Torreense (Torreense) Europa League | Lillestroem wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | AC Milan 0:2 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Europa League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1:0 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Peterborough United F.C. (Peterborough) 3:3 Barnsley F.C. (Barnsley FC) EFL Cup | Reg Time: Peterborough wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 3:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Guadalajara wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Sociedad 0:3 Atletico La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Sheffield United F.C. (Sheffield United FC) 0:1 Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. (Wolverhampton) EFL Championship | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | AC Sparta Prague (Sparta Prague) 2:0 FK Jablonec Czech First League | Sparta Prague wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:0 Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Premier League | Liverpool wins | Lost |