Kalshi · Basketball
mikesosa is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 34 picks, 67.7% win rate, $6K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 41 | 41 | 18 | 43.9% |
| WNBA | 18 | 18 | 13 | 72.2% |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
mikesosa mainly predicts World Cup: 41 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.7% hit rate over 34 orders, P&L $6K, ROI 39.5%. In World Cup, 18 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-23 22:49 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | New York Liberty 65:83 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Liberty 84:95 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Dallas Wings 81:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | DAL +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Dallas Wings 81:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Sparks 109:113 New York Liberty WNBA | Over 210.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Seattle Storm 95:105 Indiana Fever WNBA | Over 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Sparks 102:87 Chicago Sky WNBA | LA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Portland Fire 80:88 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 174.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Los Angeles winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Atlanta Dream 83:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98:90 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Golden State Valkyries 76:67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Golden State Valkyries 77:66 Atlanta Dream WNBA | GS -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Seattle Storm 110:112 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Seattle Storm 110:112 Dallas Wings WNBA | Over 170.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Indiana Fever 86:77 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | ARG +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | ECU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Connecticut Sun 97:101 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Indiana Fever 101:108 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |