Kalshi · Basketball · Football
lost.force is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 118 picks, 79.1% win rate, $10K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 22 | 22 | 17 | 77.3% |
| WNBA | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| NBA | 7 | 7 | 7 | 100.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
lost.force mainly predicts World Cup: 22 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 79.1% hit rate over 118 orders, P&L $10K, ROI 25.3%. In World Cup, 17 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 03:53 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | GSW -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Philadelphia Eagles 21:38 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Oklahoma City Thunder 125:114 Phoenix Suns NBA | OKC -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Cleveland Cavaliers 127:125 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Seattle Seahawks 20:3 Kansas City Chiefs NFL | Patrick Mahomes: 200+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | MIN -11.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Orlando Magic 93:115 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-20 | New York Knicks 100:106 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | New York wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Las Vegas Aces 94:83 Indiana Fever WNBA | LV -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Las Vegas Aces 94:83 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Las Vegas Aces 94:83 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Lyon W 0:0 Chelsea W Women's Champions League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Roma Women 0:6 FC Barcelona W Women's Champions League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) Nations League | Finland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta win the 4th Quarter | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Sevilla FC 1:0 Valencia La Liga | Sevilla wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) 5:2 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | Alaves wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia 0:5 FC Barcelona La Liga | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Sevilla FC 1:3 Atletico La Liga | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham vs Chelsea Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Como 1907 Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Como Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | FC Basel (FC Basel 1893) 2:5 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Basel vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | First Half Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | 4th Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | ATL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | ATL -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | 1st Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Atlanta Dream 89:78 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Atlanta winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Washington Mystics 81:76 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Washington winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |