Polymarket · Baseball
LightningAndTheThunder is a MLB pro on Polymarket: 85 picks, 63.5% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 36 | 36 | 19 | 52.8% |
| WNBA | 24 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% |
LightningAndTheThunder mainly predicts MLB: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.5% hit rate over 85 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 12.9%. In MLB, 19 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-10 04:49 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Philadelphia Phillies to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies O/U 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Baltimore Orioles 9:5 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland Guardians to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | San Diego Padres 9:2 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington Nationals to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Chicago White Sox 2:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Chicago White Sox to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis Cardinals to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Athletics 2:0 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Detroit Tigers 7:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers O/U 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Cleveland Guardians to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Kansas City Royals 6:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers to win | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Houston Astros 3:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Houston Astros to win | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Chicago White Sox 4:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Miami Marlins 1:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago Cubs to win | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Baltimore Orioles 0:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston Red Sox to win | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 2:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Philadelphia Phillies to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Texas Rangers 8:5 Athletics MLB | Athletics vs Texas Rangers O/U 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 3:7 New York Yankees MLB | New York Yankees to win | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Washington Nationals 9:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta Braves to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds 4:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego Padres to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Tampa Bay Rays 2:3 New York Mets MLB | Tampa Bay Rays to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Texas Rangers 8:1 Athletics MLB | Texas Rangers to win | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Texas Rangers 8:5 Athletics MLB | Texas Rangers to win | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia Phillies to win | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101:69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Phoenix Mercury -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101:69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Phoenix Mercury -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101:69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Phoenix Mercury -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101:69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Phoenix Mercury -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Phoenix Mercury 101:69 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Phoenix Mercury -9.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Chicago Cubs 17:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago Cubs to win | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Liberty 60:79 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Detroit Tigers 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay Rays to win | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | San Francisco Giants 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati Reds to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 8:1 Minnesota Twins MLB | San Diego Padres to win | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | New York Liberty 109:102 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty O/U 187.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | New York Liberty 109:102 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty O/U 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Liberty 109:102 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty O/U 187.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | San Diego Padres 7:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres O/U 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays to win | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Washington Mystics 84:94 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Washington Mystics 84:94 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | San Diego Padres 6:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota Twins to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Washington Mystics 84:94 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati Reds 9:10 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis Cardinals to win | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 6:2 Athletics MLB | Kansas City Royals to win | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle Mariners to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates to win | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | Golden State Valkyries -6.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | Golden State Valkyries -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:10 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto Blue Jays to win | Won |