Kalshi · Football
local.sturgeon4026 is a Liga MX pro on Kalshi: 154 picks, 78.6% win rate, $47K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 40 won, 20 lost, 66.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Super Lig | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
local.sturgeon4026 mainly predicts Liga MX: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.6% hit rate over 154 orders, P&L $47K, ROI 30.3%. In Liga MX, 6 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-22 05:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 2:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 2:0 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Independ. Santa Fe 2:1 Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Palmeiras 0:1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) CONMEBOL Libertadores | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:2 Club Tijuana Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 0:0 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) US Open Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:5 America Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:2 Club Tijuana Liga MX | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Palmeiras 0:1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 0:0 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) US Open Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-22 | FC Cincinnati 2:1 D.C. United (D.C. United SC) MLS | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Brooklyn FC 1:2 Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 2:0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Brooklyn FC 1:2 Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 2:0 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) Champions League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-21 | Real Madrid 4:1 Leipzig Champions League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 0:0 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 1:0 Melgar Peru Liga 1 | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | SSC Bari (Bari) 1:1 Picerno Coppa Italia Lega Pro | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Peterborough United F.C. (Peterborough) 0:0 Stevenage F.C. (Stevenage FC) EFL League One | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 1:1 Southampton F.C. (Southampton FC) EFL Championship | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Eastleigh 1:1 Aldershot Town F.C. (Aldershot) English National League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Eastleigh 1:1 Aldershot Town F.C. (Aldershot) English National League | Eastleigh wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Cali 1:1 Bucaramanga Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1:3 San Luis Liga MX | Monterrey vs San Luis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Cali 1:1 Bucaramanga Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Rivadavia 3:1 Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Rivadavia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 2:1 Leones Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Cerro Largo FC 1:1 Liverpool F.C. (Montevideo) (Liverpool Montevideo) Uruguay Primera Division | Liverpool M wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Clube de Regatas Brasil (CR Brasil) 2:1 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | CR Brasil wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Ind. Medellin 2:1 Llaneros Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Ind. Medellin wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 0:2 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Super Lig | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 0:2 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Super Lig | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 0:2 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Super Lig | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Samsunspor FC (Samsunspor) 0:2 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Super Lig | Fenerbahce wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Washington 1:0 Bay FC NWSL | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Union Gilloise 3:0 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Belgian Pro League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Al-Hazm 0:0 Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) Saudi Pro League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:2 Göztepe S.K. (Goztepe Izmir) Super Lig | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Juventus FC 2:0 Parma Calcio 1913 Serie A | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Tottenham vs Newcastle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Levante UD 5:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Cadiz Mirandilla Atletico Central Club Friendlies | Cadiz Mirandilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Barcelona Atletic 1:2 Cornella Club Friendlies | Barcelona Atletic wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Ettifaq FC (Al-Ittifaq) 2:3 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Al-Ittifaq vs Al Nassr Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Sabah Masazir 5:2 Be`er Sheva Champions League | Be`er Sheva To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Al-Taawon FC (Al-Taawoun) 0:0 Al-Feiha FC (Al-Fayha) Saudi Pro League | Al-Taawoun vs Al-Fayha Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | SK Brann Kvinner 2:1 FK Austria Wien W Women's Champions League | Brann vs Austria Wien Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 2:2 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Argentina Primera Division | Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 2:2 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Argentina Primera Division | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 2:2 Club Atlético Rosario Central (Rosario) Argentina Primera Division | Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:1 Argentinos Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Botafogo FC 2:3 Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 3:0 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | REC -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 3:0 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Everton de Viña del Mar 3:1 U de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera | Everton vs U de Concepcion Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 3:0 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Both Teams To Score | Lost |