Kalshi · Football
lilchemo is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 52 picks, 69.2% win rate, $227 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 40 | 40 | 25 | 62.5% |
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% |
| Circuito Desafiante | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
lilchemo mainly predicts World Cup: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.2% hit rate over 52 orders, P&L $227, ROI 23.2%. In World Cup, 25 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-11 23:10 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Team Solid 1:0 paiN Gaming Academy Circuito Desafiante | paiN Gaming Academy to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 5:9 New York Yankees MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | MIA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | New York Mets 14:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | PHI +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Texas Rangers 5:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Texas Rangers 5:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Texas Rangers 5:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Kansas City Royals 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Mariners 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Tampa Bay 6:1 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-1 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Seattle 8:3 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) 3:1 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:5 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Lost |