Kalshi · Football
lil.grape is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 73.9% win rate, $340 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 39 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 39 have settled: 24 won, 15 lost, 61.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 24 | 24 | 18 | 75.0% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Champions League | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
lil.grape mainly predicts World Cup: 24 of the last 39 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.9% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $340, ROI 9.6%. In World Cup, 18 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 21:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Miami Heat (Heat) 106:131 Minnesota Timberwolves NBA | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 2:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Cincinnati Reds 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Oklahoma to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Miami Marlins 5:6 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Miami Marlins 2:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Chicago Cubs 5:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |