Polymarket · Basketball
Half-Polyp is a NBA pro on Polymarket: 150 picks, 62.0% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 43 won, 17 lost, 71.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 58 | 58 | 41 | 70.7% |
| Champions League | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Half-Polyp mainly predicts NBA: 58 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.0% hit rate over 150 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 26.3%. In NBA, 41 of 58 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-09-18 11:26 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | 76ers -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs 76ers O/U 228.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs 76ers O/U 229.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Brooklyn Nets (Nets) 100:138 Detroit Pistons (Pistons) NBA | Pistons vs Nets O/U 217.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) 101:103 Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) NBA | Hornets vs Trail Blazers O/U 229.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) 101:103 Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) NBA | Hornets vs Trail Blazers O/U 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Brooklyn Nets (Nets) 100:138 Detroit Pistons (Pistons) NBA | Pistons vs Nets O/U 217.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Atlanta Hawks (Hawks) 124:112 Dallas Mavericks (Mavericks) NBA | Mavericks vs Hawks O/U 239.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-10 | Golden State Warriors (Warriors) 124:130 Chicago Bulls (Bulls) NBA | Warriors -6.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Golden State Warriors (Warriors) 124:130 Chicago Bulls (Bulls) NBA | Warriors -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Atlanta Hawks (Hawks) 124:112 Dallas Mavericks (Mavericks) NBA | Hawks to win | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) 101:103 Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) NBA | Hornets vs Trail Blazers O/U 228.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-10 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs 76ers O/U 228.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs 76ers O/U 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs 76ers O/U 229.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) 101:103 Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) NBA | Hornets vs Trail Blazers O/U 229.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) 101:103 Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) NBA | Hornets vs Trail Blazers O/U 227.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) 101:103 Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) NBA | Hornets vs Trail Blazers O/U 226.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) 139:129 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | 76ers -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Thunder) 129:126 Denver Nuggets (Nuggets) NBA | Thunder -7.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Thunder) 129:126 Denver Nuggets (Nuggets) NBA | Nuggets vs Thunder O/U 232.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) 126:118 New York Knicks (Knicks) NBA | Knicks -2.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-10 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 119:116 Golden State Warriors (Warriors) NBA | Warriors vs Jazz O/U 224.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers) 115:101 Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) NBA | Cavaliers -10.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers) 115:101 Philadelphia 76ers (76ers) NBA | Cavaliers -12.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-09 | Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) 126:118 New York Knicks (Knicks) NBA | Knicks vs Clippers O/U 221.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-09 | Brooklyn Nets (Nets) 126:115 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies -2.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-09 | Brooklyn Nets (Nets) 126:115 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs Nets O/U 224.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-09 | Brooklyn Nets (Nets) 126:115 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Grizzlies vs Nets O/U 222.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-09 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 119:116 Golden State Warriors (Warriors) NBA | Warriors vs Jazz O/U 227.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-09 | Brooklyn Nets (Nets) 126:115 Memphis Grizzlies (Grizzlies) NBA | Nets to win | Won |
| 2026-03-08 | Cleveland Cavaliers (Cavaliers) 98:109 Boston Celtics (Celtics) NBA | Celtics to win | Won |
| 2026-03-08 | Toronto Raptors (Raptors) 122:92 Dallas Mavericks (Mavericks) NBA | Raptors to win | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Minnesota Timberwolves (Timberwolves) 92:119 Orlando Magic (Magic) NBA | Timberwolves to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | Phoenix Suns (Suns) 118:116 New Orleans Pelicans (Pelicans) NBA | Pelicans vs Suns O/U 226.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Houston Rockets (Rockets) 106:99 Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) NBA | Rockets -5.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers) 128:117 Indiana Pacers (Pacers) NBA | Lakers -8.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers) 128:117 Indiana Pacers (Pacers) NBA | Pacers vs Lakers O/U 236.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers) 128:117 Indiana Pacers (Pacers) NBA | Lakers -9.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers) 128:117 Indiana Pacers (Pacers) NBA | Lakers -10.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) 116:112 Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) NBA | Clippers vs Spurs O/U 223.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) 120:128 Miami Heat (Heat) NBA | Heat vs Hornets O/U 230.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | Charlotte Hornets (Hornets) 120:128 Miami Heat (Heat) NBA | Heat vs Hornets O/U 228.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | Denver Nuggets (Nuggets) 103:142 New York Knicks (Knicks) NBA | Knicks to win | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers) 128:117 Indiana Pacers (Pacers) NBA | Lakers to win | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Boston Celtics (Celtics) 120:100 Dallas Mavericks (Mavericks) NBA | Mavericks vs Celtics O/U 225.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Houston Rockets (Rockets) 106:99 Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) NBA | Rockets -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-07 | Houston Rockets (Rockets) 106:99 Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) NBA | Trail Blazers vs Rockets O/U 223.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-07 | Houston Rockets (Rockets) 106:99 Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) NBA | Trail Blazers vs Rockets O/U 219.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) 116:112 Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) NBA | Spurs -8.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-06 | San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) 116:112 Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) NBA | Clippers to win | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) 116:112 Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) NBA | Spurs -7.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-03-06 | Los Angeles Lakers (Lakers) 128:117 Indiana Pacers (Pacers) NBA | Pacers vs Lakers O/U 235.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | Boston Celtics (Celtics) 120:100 Dallas Mavericks (Mavericks) NBA | Celtics -15.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | San Antonio Spurs (Spurs) 116:112 Los Angeles Clippers (Clippers) NBA | Clippers vs Spurs O/U 224.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | Houston Rockets (Rockets) 106:99 Portland Trail Blazers (Trail Blazers) NBA | Trail Blazers vs Rockets O/U 222.5 | Lost |
| 2026-03-06 | Phoenix Suns (Suns) 118:116 New Orleans Pelicans (Pelicans) NBA | Pelicans vs Suns O/U 225.5 | Won |
| 2026-03-06 | Phoenix Suns (Suns) 118:116 New Orleans Pelicans (Pelicans) NBA | Pelicans vs Suns O/U 224.5 | Won |