Kalshi · Basketball
goldenfire is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 40 picks, 65.0% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 31 | 31 | 17 | 54.8% |
| WNBA | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
| NBA Summer League | 10 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
goldenfire mainly predicts MLB: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.0% hit rate over 40 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 19.8%. In MLB, 17 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-20 03:10 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | F5 Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | New York Mets 4:2 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Cleveland Guardians 8:1 San Francisco Giants MLB | CLE -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3:4 Chicago WS MLB | F5 Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Atlanta Braves 0:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | New York Mets 4:1 Washington Nationals MLB | WSH -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 28:9 Green Bay NFL | Pittsburgh to win | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 0:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Detroit Tigers 3:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Dallas Wings 94:88 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Under 182.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6:12 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4:8 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Twins 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 4:1 Houston Astros MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 4:1 Houston Astros MLB | HOU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | NYY -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | LAD -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103:90 Dallas Wings WNBA | MIN -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | New York Yankees 1:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Portland Fire 100:93 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Washington Nationals 8:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | F5 Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago Sky 86:90 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98:87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Over 182.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chicago Sky 86:90 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84:83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins the 1st half | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Seattle Storm 76:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Nashville SC 1:0 Atlanta United FC MLS | Nashville vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Indiana Fever 110:107 Seattle Storm WNBA | IND -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Charlotte 90:92 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | First Half Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Chicago Sky 96:82 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Chicago winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Under 195.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | Under 190.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | 1H Under 89.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | First Half Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | 1H Over 81.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Detroit 88:100 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Over 189.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | New Orleans to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Under 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | MIN -15.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Philadelphia 92:99 Orlando NBA Summer League | ORL -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Over 168.5 | Won |