Kalshi · Football
geologist88 is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 37 picks, 75.7% win rate, $8K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Peru Liga 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
geologist88 mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 6 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 75.7% hit rate over 37 orders, P&L $8K, ROI 34.6%. In Club Friendlies, 3 of 6 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-02 16:06 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) 1:2 Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Leones 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Club Guaraní (Club Guarani) 2:1 Club Libertad (Libertad) APF Division de Honor | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Houston Astros 5:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 0:1 Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Racing Louisville FC 2:1 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Everton de Viña del Mar (Everton Vina Del Mar) 3:4 Club Social y Deportivo Colo Colo (Colo-Colo) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Pasto 1:2 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Mendoza 2:0 Unión de Santa Fe (Union Santa Fe) Argentina Primera Division | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | San Antonio FC 3:1 Indy Eleven USL Championship | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Los Chankas CYC 3:2 Comerciantes U. Peru Liga 1 | Los Chankas CYC vs Comerciantes U. Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Birmingham City F.C. (Birmingham) 2:2 FC Barcelona Club Friendlies | Birmingham vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | US Sassuolo Calcio 0:0 Folgore Caratese Club Friendlies | Sassuolo vs Folgore Caratese Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | D. Concepcion 2:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Club Deportivo Garcilaso (Deportivo Garcilaso) 2:1 FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Amazonas 2:1 Paysandu Sport Club (Paysandu) Brasileiro Serie C | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Remo 2:0 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 2:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Bahia 1:1 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Frosinone Calcio 1:0 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC Club Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | AC Horsens 1:1 Nordsjaelland Danish Superliga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (KFUM Oslo) 2:4 Molde FK Eliteserien | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Malmö FF (Malmo) 1:2 IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Zwolle 2:3 AEK Athens F.C. (AEK Athens) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | AFC Ajax 2:1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) Club Friendlies | AJA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Shandong Taishan 1:2 Henan F.C. (Henan FC) Chinese Super League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Yunnan Yukun F.C. (Yunnan Yukun) 4:3 Shenzhen Peng City F.C. (Shenzhen Peng City) Chinese Super League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | FC Anyang 2:1 Gangwon FC Korea K League 1 | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | FC Seoul 1:3 Ulsan HD FC Korea K League 1 | Seoul vs Ulsan HD Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2:2 San Luis Liga MX | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Diego FC 1:0 FC Dallas MLS | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tolima 2:1 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tolima vs Junior Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Melgar 2:1 Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) Peru Liga 1 | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:0 San Lorenzo de Almagro Argentina Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Newell's Old Boys 1:0 Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Qingdao Hainiu F.C. (Qingdao Hainiu) 0:2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger F.C. (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger) Chinese Super League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) 1:1 America Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Cali 2:0 Jaguares Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 4:2 Juventude RS Brasileiro Serie B | BOT -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 1:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) 0:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Czestochowa 3:1 Valletta F.C. (Valletta) Conference League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Coritiba F.C. (Coritiba) 1:3 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Avai 2:1 America FC Brasileiro Serie B | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 2:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Memphis 90:94 Golden NBA Summer League | GSW +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Extra Time | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | FC Anyang 1:1 Gwangju FC Korea K League 1 | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Under 243.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Juarez 0:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) 1:1 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 2:1 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |