Kalshi · Football · Baseball
fred1k is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 63.4% win rate, $906 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 25 won, 35 lost, 41.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 26 | 26 | 10 | 38.5% |
| NFL | 24 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% |
| MLB | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| La Liga | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
fred1k mainly predicts NCAAF: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.4% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $906, ROI 28.4%. In NCAAF, 10 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-22 23:59 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Chicago Bears 30:24 New England Patriots NFL | CHI +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-21 | Sam Houston Bearkats 24:30 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | NMSU +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-20 | Florida International Panthers 23:26 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders NCAAF | FIU +11.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | San Francisco 49ers 23:17 Washington Commanders NFL | SF +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-19 | Getafe CF 1:1 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Vallecano wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Green Bay Packers 23:13 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Kansas City Chiefs 22:6 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | KC +8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | ORE +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Penn St. 23:31 USC Trojans NCAAF | USC +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | BYU Cougars 24:10 Iowa St. NCAAF | BYU +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | LOU -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Louisville Cardinals 44:20 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | LOU +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | UTSA Roadrunners 31:24 South Florida Bulls NCAAF | UTSA -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Kennesaw State Owls 26:27 Jacksonville State Gamecocks NCAAF | JVST +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Troy 55:34 Southern Miss Golden Eagles NCAAF | TROY +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | NO +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | DET -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN Bengals 17:22 JAC Jaguars NFL | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Arizona State Sun Devils 19:55 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Under 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators NCAAF | FLA +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | Idaho wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Idaho Vandals 35:34 Montana State Bobcats NCAAF | MTST -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Under 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | PIT +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | PHI +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas State Bobcats 49:35 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | North Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas State Bobcats 49:35 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | TXST +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | TTU +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Texas 7:3 Boston MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Over 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | KC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Minnesota Twins 3:8 New York Yankees MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | LAC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20:13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Under 41.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | USC Trojans 49:30 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns NCAAF | USC -28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 13:9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 13:9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | OKLA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | New York Yankees 2:12 New York Mets MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | MIZZ +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | MIZZ +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Boston College Eagles 28:21 Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAAF | BC +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Chicago Cubs 12:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -2.5 | Lost |