Kalshi · Basketball
fat.chain is a WNBA pro on Kalshi: 56 picks, 73.2% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 42 | 42 | 26 | 61.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
fat.chain mainly predicts WNBA: 42 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.2% hit rate over 56 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 25.0%. In WNBA, 26 of 42 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-10 23:38 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Seattle Storm 97:88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Chicago wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Minnesota Lynx 98:87 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Fire 97:101 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Portland winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Dallas Wings 98:99 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Atlanta Dream 93:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Golden State Valkyries 74:69 Washington Mystics WNBA | First Half Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | First Half Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | IND +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Golden 85:106 Memphis NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | CONN +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82:104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Utah 82:104 Los Angeles Clippers NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Dallas Wings 96:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Sparks 102:87 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Los Angeles winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85:91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Philadelphia 101:93 Detroit NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Phoenix Mercury 66:77 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs New York winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Sparks 64:82 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Minnesota Lynx 89:90 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Las Vegas Aces 98:90 Chicago Sky WNBA | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | New York Liberty 99:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs New York winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Connecticut Sun 83:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Golden State Valkyries 76:67 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Chicago Sky 99:107 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Dallas Wings 77:85 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Dallas winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Seattle Storm 105:90 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Seattle winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Seattle Storm 105:90 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Indiana Fever 111:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Indiana winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Toronto Tempo 80:89 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Golden State Valkyries 78:75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Golden State winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Golden State Valkyries 78:75 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Las Vegas Aces 99:84 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Las Vegas Aces 76:87 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Los Angeles Sparks 98:97 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Minnesota Lynx 79:84 Washington Mystics WNBA | Washington vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Phoenix Mercury 93:73 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Phoenix winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Golden State Valkyries 78:58 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Golden State winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Qatar vs Switzerland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Seattle Storm 72:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |