Kalshi · Football
elmasperrodenewberry is a Leagues Cup pro on Kalshi: 22 picks, 68.2% win rate, $205 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 31 won, 29 lost, 51.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leagues Cup | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Women's Champions League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Swiss Super League | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
elmasperrodenewberry mainly predicts Leagues Cup: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.2% hit rate over 22 orders, P&L $205, ROI 13.0%. In Leagues Cup, 5 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 17:22 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Real Madrid 4:1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Sevilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Costa Rica 3:4 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Fagiano Okayama 1:2 Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J1 League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona 5:2 Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) La Liga | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Oaxaca 1:1 Tapatio Liga de Expansion MX | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:0 Austin FC Leagues Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:2 Viseu Liga Portugal | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | FC St. Gallen (FC St. Gallen 1879) 2:2 FC Luzern Swiss Super League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Randers FC 2:0 Lyngby Boldklub (Lyngby BK) Danish Superliga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:3 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Malmö FF (Malmo) 1:2 Degerfors IF Allsvenskan | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Washington 3:4 North Carolina Courage NWSL | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Servette FC (Servette Geneva) 2:1 Grasshopper Swiss Super League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | GA Eagles 4:1 Willem II Eredivisie | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Lausanne-Sport (Lausanne-Sport) 2:2 BSC Young Boys (Young Boys) Swiss Super League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Schalke 04 (Schalke) 0:3 Atalanta BC (Atalanta) Club Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | N.E.C. (Nijmegen) 1:2 SC Telstar (Telstar 1963) Eredivisie | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Viking FK 2:1 Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) Eliteserien | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Augsburg 3:2 US Sassuolo Calcio Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Thailand 2:0 Myanmar men's national football team (Myanmar) ASEAN Championship | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Jeonbuk FC 1:3 Jeju SK FC Korea K League 1 | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Nagoya Grampus (Nagoya) 0:1 Shimizu S-Pulse (Shimizu) Japan J1 League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 0:0 Minnesota Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 0:0 Minnesota Leagues Cup | Tigres vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 0:0 Minnesota Leagues Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Cincinnati 2:0 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | AC Monza 3:3 Calcio Padova Club Friendlies | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Huancayo 1:1 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) 0:1 KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (KFUM Oslo) Eliteserien | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | New York City FC 2:0 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Tlaxcala 0:2 Oaxaca Liga de Expansion MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) 1:0 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | AFC Ajax 3:1 Shelbourne F.C. (Shelbourne FC) Conference League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Hradec Králové 0:1 Besiktas Europa League | Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | F.C. Legnago Salus S.S.D. (Legnago) 1:3 Mantova 1911 Club Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Inter Turku 2:1 FC Vaduz Conference League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Inter Miami CF 4:2 San Luis Leagues Cup | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Boca Juniors 1:0 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:4 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Apollon Ladies Limassol 3:3 Czarni Sosnowiec W Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Ajax W 2:0 Broendby W Women's Champions League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Juventus FC Club Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | SFK 2000 2:3 Eindhoven W Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | FK Austria Wien W 3:2 ŽNK Marjan (Znk Hajduk Split) Women's Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 1:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Charlotte FC 3:0 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Independ. Santa Fe 2:2 Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | either team advance in Extra Time | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | no goal be scored | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |