Kalshi · Football
earth.rain is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 18 picks, 61.1% win rate, $505 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 26 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 26 have settled: 15 won, 11 lost, 57.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 18 | 11 | 61.1% |
| NCAAF | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
earth.rain mainly predicts World Cup: 18 of the last 26 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.1% hit rate over 18 orders, P&L $505, ROI 11.7%. In World Cup, 11 of 18 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-24 03:51 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Miami (FL) 52:23 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Los Angeles Rams 16:18 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | BYU wins | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 America Liga MX | Queretaro vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-01 | Dallas Wings 79:56 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Dallas winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-01 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 3:1 Costa Rica Intl Friendlies | Colombia vs Costa Rica Winner | Lost |