Polymarket · Football
Murky-Fallingout is a Ligue 1 pro on Polymarket: 273 picks, 63.0% win rate, $40K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 49 won, 10 lost, 83.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 75.0% |
| Eredivisie | 17 | 17 | 16 | 94.1% |
| Bundesliga | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| Premier League | 9 | 9 | 9 | 100.0% |
| Serie A | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
Murky-Fallingout mainly predicts Ligue 1: 24 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Polymarket.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.0% hit rate over 273 orders, P&L $40K, ROI 16.6%. In Ligue 1, 18 of 24 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Polymarket. Data as of 2026-10-26 22:03 UTC+0. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC to win | Lost |
| 2026-10-27 | Torino FC Como 1907 Serie A | Como 1907 to win | Pending |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Paris Saint-Germain FC 2:0 Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AZ Alkmaar (AZ) 0:2 FC Twente Eredivisie | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AZ Alkmaar (AZ) 0:2 FC Twente Eredivisie | AZ vs FC Twente O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AZ Alkmaar (AZ) 0:2 FC Twente Eredivisie | AZ vs FC Twente O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AZ Alkmaar (AZ) 0:2 FC Twente Eredivisie | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | both teams to score | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | FC Bayern München -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Sunderland AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:0 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Sunderland AFC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Olympique de Marseille 4:3 Le Havre AC Ligue 1 | Olympique de Marseille -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Angers SCO 0:0 F.C. Lorient (FC Lorient) Ligue 1 | FC Lorient to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AJ Auxerre 1:1 Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) Ligue 1 | AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Angers SCO 0:0 F.C. Lorient (FC Lorient) Ligue 1 | FC Lorient to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AJ Auxerre 1:1 Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) Ligue 1 | AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans FC O/U 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Toulouse FC 0:0 ES Troyes AC Ligue 1 | Toulouse FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Olympique de Marseille 4:3 Le Havre AC Ligue 1 | Olympique de Marseille -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Toulouse FC 0:0 ES Troyes AC Ligue 1 | Toulouse FC -1.5 spread | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Olympique de Marseille 4:3 Le Havre AC Ligue 1 | Olympique de Marseille -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | N.E.C. (NEC) 2:2 FC Groningen Eredivisie | NEC vs FC Groningen O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Olympique de Marseille 4:3 Le Havre AC Ligue 1 | Olympique de Marseille -1.5 spread | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | N.E.C. (NEC) 2:2 FC Groningen Eredivisie | NEC vs FC Groningen O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | AZ Alkmaar (AZ) 0:2 FC Twente Eredivisie | AZ vs FC Twente O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | PSV Eindhoven (PSV) 1:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam Eredivisie | PSV to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | PSV Eindhoven (PSV) 1:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam Eredivisie | PSV to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Bayern Munich (FC Bayern München) Bundesliga | SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München O/U 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | N.E.C. (NEC) 2:2 FC Groningen Eredivisie | draw | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-25 | AS Monaco FC 1:1 Lille OSC Ligue 1 | AS Monaco FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | AS Monaco FC 1:1 Lille OSC Ligue 1 | Lille OSC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | AZ Alkmaar (AZ) 0:2 FC Twente Eredivisie | draw | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | AS Monaco FC 1:1 Lille OSC Ligue 1 | AS Monaco FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | AS Monaco FC 1:1 Lille OSC Ligue 1 | Lille OSC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 AFC Ajax Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 0:2 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle United FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace FC vs Newcastle United FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win | Won |
| 2026-10-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:0 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton & Hove Albion FC) Premier League | Liverpool FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5 | Won |