Kalshi · Football
drunk.weight is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 39 picks, 64.1% win rate, $243 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 39 won, 21 lost, 65.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 34 | 34 | 22 | 64.7% |
| MLB | 11 | 11 | 10 | 90.9% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| NCAAF | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
drunk.weight mainly predicts World Cup: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.1% hit rate over 39 orders, P&L $243, ROI 10.3%. In World Cup, 22 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-11 01:24 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | NE -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Atlanta Braves 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle vs Tennessee Pro Football game: SEA Seahawks wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 12:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Kansas City to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Chicago Bears 34:10 Cleveland Browns NFL | Chicago to win | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | New York Yankees 4:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Stade Briochin 1:2 Stade Brestois 29 (Stade Brest 29) Club Friendlies | Stade Briochin vs Stade Brest 29 Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Dallas Wings 81:82 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Wrexham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Diego Padres 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Defensa y Justicia 2:1 Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) Argentina Primera Division | Defensa y Justicia vs Riestra Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Seattle Storm 95:105 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Washington Nationals 8:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Chicago WS 2:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Karlsruhe 1:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Club Friendlies | Karlsruhe vs Inter Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:9 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0:4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | ARG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2:1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | BRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Netherlands 5:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Sweden Winner | Won |