Kalshi · Football
downbadman is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 118 picks, 71.2% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 51 won, 9 lost, 85.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 15 | 15 | 100.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 7 | 6 | 85.7% |
| ASEAN Championship | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| MLS | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
downbadman mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.2% hit rate over 118 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 29.0%. In Club Friendlies, 15 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-20 03:15 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Tecnico Uni 0:3 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tecnico Uni vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | C.D. Santa Clara (Santa Clara Azores) 2:2 CD Nacional Liga Portugal | Santa Clara Azores vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | FC Augsburg 3:2 US Sassuolo Calcio Club Friendlies | Augsburg vs Sassuolo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 3:0 AC Milan Club Friendlies | Chelsea vs Milan Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Chanthaburi F.C. (Chanthaburi) Fleet Club Friendlies | Chanthaburi vs Fleet Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Comerciantes U. 3:1 Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes U. vs Cusco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Beijing Guoan 4:0 Shenzhen Peng City F.C. (Shenzhen Peng City) Chinese Super League | Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen Peng City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Portland vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx 82:89 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Sports Association Club Alianza Atlético de Sullana (Alianza Atletico) 1:0 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | S.S. Teramo Calcio (Teramo Calcio) 1:1 S.S. Scafatese Calcio 1922 (SS Scafatese Calcio) Club Friendlies | Teramo Calcio vs SS Scafatese Calcio Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Philippines men's national association football team (Philippines) 0:1 Thailand ASEAN Championship | Philippines vs Thailand Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | St Johnstone F.C. (St Johnstone FC) 4:3 Kilmarnock F.C. (Kilmarnock FC) Scottish Premiership | St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Goteborg 2:0 Degerfors IF Allsvenskan | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Leyton Orient F.C. (Leyton Orient FC) 2:1 Royal Antwerp F.C. (Royal Antwerp FC) Club Friendlies | Leyton Orient vs Royal Antwerp Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Charleston Battery (Charleston) 5:0 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Charleston vs Brooklyn FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2:0 NK Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Bromley F.C. (Bromley FC) 0:7 QPR Club Friendlies | Bromley vs QPR Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Juventus FC 2:0 Nice Club Friendlies | Juventus vs Nice Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 (Mainz) Shabab AlAhli Dubai Club (Shabab Al-Ahli) Club Friendlies | Mainz vs Shabab Al-Ahli Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) 0:0 Singapore ASEAN Championship | Vietnam vs Singapore Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Fylde 0:3 Wigan Athletic F.C. (Wigan) Club Friendlies | Fylde vs Wigan Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Laos men's national football team (Laos) 0:5 Thailand ASEAN Championship | Laos vs Thailand Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig (Braunschweig) 0:1 Southampton F.C. (Southampton FC) Club Friendlies | Braunschweig vs Southampton Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Rosenborg BK 0:5 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Rosenborg vs Manchester United Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cambodia men's national football team (Cambodia) 1:2 Singapore ASEAN Championship | Cambodia vs Singapore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) 0:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Cuiaba vs AC Goianiense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Bolivar 3:2 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Bolivar 3:2 Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Bolivar win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Houston 1:1 D.C. United (D.C. United SC) MLS | Houston vs DC United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) 0:4 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Chapecoense vs Flamengo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Cincinnati 4:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Coritiba F.C. (Coritiba) 1:3 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Coritiba vs Palmeiras Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 1:0 A.S. Gubbio 1910 (Gubbio) Club Friendlies | Fiorentina vs Gubbio Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1:0 Milton Keynes Dons F.C. (Milton Keynes) Club Friendlies | Tottenham vs Milton Keynes Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | FC Seoul 3:1 FC Pohang Steelers (Pohang Steelers FC) Korea K League 1 | Seoul vs Pohang Steelers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 3:0 Blackburn Rovers F.C. (Blackburn) Club Friendlies | NFO -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Liga MX | Cruz Azul vs Puebla Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 0:1 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Libertad Loja 1:0 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Delfin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Knattspyrnufélagið Víkingur (Vikingur Reykjavik) 2:1 Be`er Sheva Champions League | Vikingur Reykjavik vs Be`er Sheva Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | KÍ Klaksvík (Klaksvik) 0:0 FK Kauno Žalgiris (Kauno) Champions League | Klaksvik vs Kauno Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Oldham Athletic A.F.C. (Oldham) 1:3 Bolton Wanderers F.C. (Bolton) Club Friendlies | Oldham vs Bolton Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | FC Ararat-Armenia (Ararat-Armenia) 2:0 Shamrock Champions League | Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Toronto Tempo 83:109 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Indiana Fever (Indiana) 93:94 Toronto NBA Summer League | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | NYK -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Djurgarden 3:0 Halmstad Allsvenskan | Djurgarden vs Halmstad Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Belgium win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Hartford Athletic 2:2 Orange County SC USL Championship | Hartford Athletic vs Orange County Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 1:2 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Ponte Preta vs Criciuma Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |