Kalshi · Basketball · Football
dead.grader is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 71 picks, 60.6% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 24 won, 36 lost, 40.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Leagues Cup | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| Scottish Premiership | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Mexico LNBP | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| MLS | 6 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| NWSL | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
dead.grader mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 12 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.6% hit rate over 71 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 20.8%. In Club Friendlies, 5 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-09 15:05 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:3 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Monaco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:3 AS Monaco FC Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Monaco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 0:1 Los Angeles FC Leagues Cup | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 0:1 Los Angeles FC Leagues Cup | Toluca vs Los Angeles F Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Houston Dash 1:1 Kansas City Current NWSL | Houston vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Houston Dash 1:1 Kansas City Current NWSL | Houston vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:3 Juarez Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Juarez Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:3 Juarez Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:3 Juarez Leagues Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:3 Juarez Leagues Cup | VAN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Diablos Rojos Del Mexico 82:86 Freseros de Irapuato Mexico LNBP | Freseros de Irapuato vs Diablos Rojos Del Mexico men's Mexico LNBP game: Diablos Rojos Del Mexico wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Minnesota Lynx 82:89 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Los Angeles wins | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 3:0 Seattle Leagues Cup | TOL +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Minnesota 1:2 Juarez Leagues Cup | Minnesota vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | FC Cincinnati 3:1 CF Pachuca Leagues Cup | Cincinnati vs Pachuca Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Tolima 2:3 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | DIM -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Tolima 2:3 Ind. Medellin Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | DIM +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Enfield F.C. (Enfield) Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) Club Friendlies | Enfield vs Tottenham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Bucaramanga 1:1 Cúcuta Deportivo (Cucuta) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Bucaramanga vs Cucuta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | FC Cincinnati 4:2 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Cincinnati vs San Jose Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | FC Cincinnati 4:2 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Cincinnati vs San Jose Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | FC Cincinnati 4:2 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Cincinnati vs San Jose Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 1:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Saint Louis vs Salt Lake Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Philadelphia 3:2 Atlanta MLS | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Philadelphia 3:2 Atlanta MLS | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Racing Louisville FC 2:1 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Racing Louisville vs Chicago Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 2:1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 2:1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Scottish Premiership | HOM -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Aberdeen F.C. (Aberdeen FC) 2:1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Scottish Premiership | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:2 St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) Scottish Premiership | Falkirk vs St. Mirren Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:2 St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) Scottish Premiership | Falkirk vs St. Mirren Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:2 St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) Scottish Premiership | MIR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:2 St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) Scottish Premiership | MIR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Falkirk F.C. (Falkirk FC) 0:2 St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) Scottish Premiership | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Freseros de Irapuato 92:89 Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas vs Freseros de Irapuato: Freseros de Irapuato wins | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Freseros de Irapuato 92:89 Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas vs Freseros de Irapuato: Mineros de Zacatecas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Atlanta Dream 98:89 Seattle Storm WNBA | Seattle vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Sporting CP 4:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Panteras de Aguascalientes 90:85 Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP | Fuerza Regia vs Panteras de Aguascalientes: Fuerza Regia wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 0:2 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:0 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 5:0 FC St. Gallen (FC St. Gallen 1879) Europa League | BEN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 5:0 FC St. Gallen (FC St. Gallen 1879) Europa League | BEN +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Auda 4:1 FCSB Conference League | AUD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | FC Rottach-Egern 0:15 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Phoenix Mercury 91:89 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Phoenix women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Bay FC 0:1 Gotham FC (Gotham) NWSL | GOT +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 1:0 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2:2 FC Thun Champions League | Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun: Thun To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Astros de Jalisco 93:86 Correcaminos UAT Victoria Mexico LNBP | Correcaminos UAT Victoria vs Astros de Jalisco: Correcaminos UAT Victoria wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 0:0 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0:3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0:3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | GAL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 0:3 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Club Friendlies | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | AL Suqoor 4:1 Al-Arabi SC (Al Arabi Doha) Club Friendlies | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | AL Suqoor 4:1 Al-Arabi SC (Al Arabi Doha) Club Friendlies | NEO +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Fuerza Regia 95:89 Soles de Mexicali Mexico LNBP | Soles de Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia: Fuerza Regia wins | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Fuerza Regia 95:89 Soles de Mexicali Mexico LNBP | Soles de Mexicali vs Fuerza Regia: Soles de Mexicali wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Palmeiras 1:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Atletico Mineiro MG wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Palmeiras 1:2 Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) Brasileiro Serie A | Draw 1-1 | Lost |