Kalshi · Football
convinced.baboon8912 is a Leagues Cup pro on Kalshi: 93 picks, 62.4% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leagues Cup | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Intl Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| La Liga | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Europa League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Nations League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
convinced.baboon8912 mainly predicts Leagues Cup: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.4% hit rate over 93 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 27.2%. In Leagues Cup, 5 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-25 19:48 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | FC Barcelona 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Real Madrid: 4+ corners | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Zlin 0:1 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Czech First League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Slavia Prague B 0:2 Vlasim Czech National Football League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Golden State Valkyries 83:81 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | GS -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USA 3:0 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 1:2 Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) Nations League | Kazakhstan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Cook Islands 3:2 Tahiti Intl Friendlies | Tahiti wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Lyon W 0:0 Chelsea W Women's Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Papua New Guinea 1:1 Solomon Islands Intl Friendlies | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Liberty 87:71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | French Guiana 1:0 Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:4 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) 0:0 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Vinicius Junior: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Le Havre AC 0:0 Angers SCO (Angers) Ligue 1 | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) 1:1 Middlesbrough F.C. (Middlesbrough FC) EFL Championship | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | AFC Bournemouth 1:1 Everton F.C. (Everton FC) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | CSKA Sofia 0:2 OFI Crete F.C. (OFI Crete) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Iberia 1:2 Jagiellonia Białystok (Jagiellonia) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | America 2:0 Columbus Crew (Columbus) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | NK Celje 1:1 ŠK Slovan Bratislava Champions League | NK Celje To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 1:2 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Champions League | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 0:1 FC Red Bull Salzburg (Salzburg) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | FC Kairat (Kairat) 0:3 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1:1 Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (Heidenheim) 2:4 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Club Friendlies | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Elche CF La Liga | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Brøndby IF (Broendby) 3:2 Soenderjyske Danish Superliga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | FC Slovan Liberec (Slovan Liberec) 1:1 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Czech First League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | AC Milan 4:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 3:0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Utah Royals FC 3:2 Bay FC NWSL | Utah Royals vs Bay FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Portland Fire (Portland) 3:1 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | America 1:1 Austin FC Leagues Cup | America vs Austin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | America 1:1 Austin FC Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Philadelphia 0:2 Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) Leagues Cup | Philadelphia vs Santos Laguna Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) 3:2 PAOK FC (PAOK) Europa League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Tallinna Lastestaadion (Tallinna) 0:4 IC Escaldes Conference League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Leagues Cup | LAFC -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 2:1 Nashville SC Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 0:1 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 2:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) UEFA Super Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 1:1 Pumas UNAM Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Apollon Limassol FC (Apollon Limassol) 2:4 SK Brann Conference League | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | C.D. Santa Clara (Santa Clara Azores) 2:2 CD Nacional Liga Portugal | Santa Clara Azores vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 2:1 New York City FC Leagues Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) 1:3 Club de Deportes Limache (Deportes Limache) Chile Liga de Primera | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham Hotspur FC) 1:1 Getafe CF Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Juventus FC Inter Milan (Inter) Club Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Tre Fiori 1:4 KF Drita Conference League | DRI -1.5 | Won |