Kalshi · Football
chief.launch is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 73.7% win rate, $709 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 15 | 15 | 8 | 53.3% |
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 9 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| CONMEBOL Libertadores | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
chief.launch mainly predicts NFL: 15 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.7% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $709, ROI 19.0%. In NFL, 8 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 00:48 UTC+0. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Texas State Bobcats 66:27 Colorado State Rams NCAAF | Colorado St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | LAR -10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Florida International Panthers 22:3 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | Florida International wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Toronto FC 1:2 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | FC Supra Du Quebec wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Nicaragua men's national football team (Nicaragua) 1:2 Dominican Republic men's national basketball team (Dominican Republic) CONCACAF Nations League | Nicaragua wins | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | San Diego wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Petrzalka 1:0 FK Pohronie Slovakian 2. Liga | FK Pohronie wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | UCLA Bruins 52:38 Purdue Boilermakers NCAAF | UCLA wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | San Jose St. 10:26 Fresno State Bulldogs NCAAF | Fresno St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | America 2:2 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Baltimore 5:6 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:3 Elche CF La Liga | Elche wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Greuther Furth) 1:1 Magdeburg Bundesliga 2 | Greuther Furth wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Prostejov 2:2 Dukla Prague Czech National Football League | Dukla Prague wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | JaPS 1:0 Ekenas Finnish Ykkosliiga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Valkeakoski 2:0 Klubi 04 Finnish Ykkosliiga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Bandirma 0:1 Umraniye TFF 1. Lig | Umraniye wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Ayutthaya Utd 1:2 Uthai Thani FC Thai League 1 | Uthai Thani FC wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Madura United F.C. (Madura United) 2:1 Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League | Madura United wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Vanraure Hachinohe 0:3 Tegevajaro Japan J2 League | Tegevajaro wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas 3:4 Boston MLB | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 1:1 Ind. del Valle CONMEBOL Libertadores | Flamengo To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Mets 0:3 Philadelphia MLB | New York M wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 27:13 Syracuse Orange NCAAF | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:3 Villarreal CF La Liga | Villarreal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Sociedad 1:2 AFC Bournemouth Europa League | Bournemouth wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | ENPPI SC (Enppi) 1:2 Pyramids FC (Pyramids) Egyptian Premier League | Pyramids wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Real Betis wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Ra`anana 0:1 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat Liga Leumit | Ra`anana wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | AEK Athens F.C. (AEK Athens) 8:1 Panserraikos Greek Cup | AEK Athens wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Los Angeles Angels 2:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 7:3 Boston MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:1 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Atletico Mineiro To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 3:2 Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores | Palmeiras To Advance | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 3:2 Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores | LDU Quito To Advance | Lost |