Kalshi · Football
break.man is a Brasileiro Serie A pro on Kalshi: 29 picks, 72.4% win rate, $756 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 46 won, 13 lost, 78.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasileiro Serie A | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| NBA | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| MLS | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
break.man mainly predicts Brasileiro Serie A: 5 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 72.4% hit rate over 29 orders, P&L $756, ROI 19.6%. In Brasileiro Serie A, 4 of 5 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-27 02:39 UTC+0. Method: methodology
WWWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Denver Nuggets 114:134 Golden State Warriors NBA | Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-26 | Club Universidad de Chile (U de Chile) 4:1 Everton de Viña del Mar Chile Liga de Primera | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Sevilla FC 2:0 Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) La Liga | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Copenhagen 1:1 Odense Boldklub (Odense BK) Danish Superliga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Al Qadsiah FC (Al Qadsiah) 1:1 Al Sadd Sports Club (Al Sadd) AFC Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-26 | Al Ahli Saudi Club 2:1 Al Gharafa SC AFC Champions League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) 2:1 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileiro Serie A | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-24 | Palmeiras 2:0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-24 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 1:1 Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | The Cong - Viettel 2:2 Bac Ninh Vietnam V-League 1 | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-23 | Gia Lai 0:2 Nghe An Vietnam V-League 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-23 | Oklahoma City Thunder 96:84 Denver Nuggets NBA | Nikola Jokić: 15+ points | Lost |
| 2026-10-22 | Al Fateh SC (Al-Fateh) 1:3 Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) Saudi Pro League | 1H Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Le Havre AC 1:3 AJ Auxerre (Auxerre) Ligue 1 | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 2:0 Santander La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | LA Galaxy 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Wellington 2:1 Melbourne Victory FC A-League Men | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Austin FC 1:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Atlanta 1:3 Inter Miami CF MLS | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Botafogo FC 1:0 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | America FC 1:0 Ferroviário Atlético Clube (Ferroviario) Brasileiro Serie B | 1H Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Juan Pablo II College Sports Club Association (Juan Pablo II College) 2:0 Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 2:2 Juventude RS Brasileiro Serie B | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 2:2 Juventude RS Brasileiro Serie B | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Villarreal CF 0:0 Elche CF La Liga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) 1:0 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Kashima Antlers (Kashima) 2:0 V-Varen Nagasaki (V-Varen) Japan J1 League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Hiroshima 3:0 Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J1 League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Defensa y Justicia 0:1 Instituto Cordoba Argentina Primera Division | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | FC Eindhoven 0:1 Vitesse Eerste Divisie | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | AC Horsens 0:0 Randers FC Danish Superliga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Wieczysta Kraków (Wieczysta Krakow) 1:2 Czestochowa Ekstraklasa | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Umraniye 0:1 Bolu TFF 1. Lig | Under 3.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Piestany 0:2 Trnava Slovakian Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Under 69.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Under 60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 1:0 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Sivasspor 4:1 Pendik TFF 1. Lig | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | FC Kafr Qasim 0:1 Bnei Yehuda Liga Leumit | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Adhyaksa 0:1 Persebaya Indonesia Super League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Shenzhen Peng City F.C. (Shenzhen Peng City) 2:2 Henan F.C. (Henan FC) Chinese Super League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | San Antonio Spurs 116:123 Atlanta Hawks NBA | San Antonio wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Palmeiras 1:0 Bahia Brasileiro Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 2:1 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 3:3 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | RUS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Sacramento Kings 103:127 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Grenada 1:4 Bonaire CONCACAF Nations League | GRN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) 2:2 Saint Kitts and Nevis CONCACAF Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 1:1 Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 3:2 Anguilla CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | 1H Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Trinidad and Tobago men's national football team (Trinidad and Tobago) 1:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Ireland 1:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) Nations League | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 0:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) Intl Friendlies | 1H Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Comoros men's national football team (Comoros) 0:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Campobasso 1:1 Sassari Serie C | Under 3.5 | Won |